FNUS74 KAMA 242214
FWSAMA

SPOT FORECAST FOR DEAF SMITH COUNTY FIRE...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE, CANYON OFFICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
514 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1657 CDT ON MAY 24. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA OVER
THE NEXT 2 TO 3 HOURS. WINDS WILL CONTINUE AT 30 TO 40 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. WINDS WILL START TO DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET BUT
WILL STILL REMAIN GUSTY AT 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
THIS WILL CAUSE WINDS TO SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST. WIND SPEEDS WILL
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH SLIGHTLY TO AROUND 20 TO 30 MPH. RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES AROUND 5 TO 10 PERCENT WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE TO AROUND
50 PERCENT WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........6 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 26 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 25 TO 35
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL INCREASING TO 19000-19500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. WEST WINDS 16 TO 32 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 55
                    MPH DECREASING TO 35 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......18000-18500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 18 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11500-12500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 22 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...KRAUSE
REQUESTED BY...JOHNNY OKER-BLOM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110524.DEAFS.01/AMA