FNUS75 KGJT 242332
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH PARK MESA...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
532 PM MDT TUE MAY 24 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1704 MDT ON MAY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...FLOW HAS VEERED TO THE NORTHWEST BRINGING A DRYING
TREND TO THE FIRE SITE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION TOMORROW FOR DRY AND WARMER
CONDITIONS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THROUGH 2200...THEN
    CLEARING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-38 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE
    3 TO 5 MPH BY 2200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD DECREASING TO POOR (15500-16800 KNOT-FT)
    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 19 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AT 6 TO 10 MPH BY 1300. OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO
    AROUND 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (15200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    BY 1200.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6600-7400 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO DOWNSLOPE
    3 TO 5 MPH AROUND 2100.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6900-12600 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 MPH SHIFTING TO DOWNSLOPE 5 MPH
    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...JOANIE LAWRENCE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110524.SOUTH.01/GJT