FNUS74 KBMX 251226 FWSBMX SPOT FORECAST FOR TERRAPIN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 726 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0718 CDT ON MAY 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE FOR ONE MORE DAY BEFORE A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE STATE TOMORROW THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. SURFACE MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY...ALTHOUGH THERE WILL STILL LIKELY BE SOME DEWPOINT MIXING DOWNWARD THIS AFTERNOON. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL LOWER INTO THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S THIS AFTERNOON AS THE SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASE TO AROUND 20 MPH. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN IN THE WEST OVERNIGHT AND TRANSLATE IN EASTWARD WITH SEVERAL WAVES OF CONVECTION POSSIBLE THROUGH TOMORROW EVENING. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR YOUR AREA WILL BE TOMORROW MORNING...PERHAPS AS EARLY AS 10 TO 11AM...LASTING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...EVENING...AND EVEN OVERNIGHT. IT WILL NOT BE CONTINUOUS...BUT RATHER ABOUT A 60 TO 70 PERCENT AREA COVERAGE. RAIN AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY STAY UNDER 1 INCH...UNLESS THUNDERSTORMS IMPACT YOUR MAIN AREA. CHANCES OF SEVERE WEATHER INCREASE TOMORROW AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTY WINDS AND SOME HAIL POSSIBLE. THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES IS RATHER LOW AT THIS TIME. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................MISSING. MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-6600 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 20 TO 23 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 78 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 98 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 71 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 101. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............68 77 85 87 90 91 RH..............95 75 60 50 43 39 20 FT WIND......NE 0 S 3 S 8 S 10 S 12 S 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1000 2800 4600 5900 6600 6600 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 SW 14 SW 20 S 23 S 22 S 22 DISPERSION......4 9 78 102 74 101 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................MISSING. MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-6100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 16 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 14 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. DISPERSION INDEX....109 INCREASING TO 152 EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN DECREASING TO 101 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 43 LATE IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 9. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY.............PCLDY CLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............86 80 75 72 70 68 RH..............45 57 68 73 78 84 20 FT WIND......S 9 S 6 S 3 S 2 S 2 S 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....6100 3600 500 800 1100 700 TRANSPORT WIND..S 24 S 23 S 16 S 20 S 20 S 15 DISPERSION......109 101 11 9 9 7 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83. MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................MISSING. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000-6300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 31 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....11 INCREASING TO 34 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 66 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 52 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 71 INCREASING TO 95 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 105 DECREASING TO 81 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY.............CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............66 69 78 82 83 83 RH..............90 84 67 61 59 60 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 6 SW 7 SW 8 SW 9 SW 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 60 60 60 60 60 MIX HGT (FT)....700 2100 4000 2800 3800 6300 TRANSPORT WIND..SW 14 SW 18 SW 26 SW 24 SW 26 SW 31 DISPERSION......9 12 36 55 71 105 $$ FORECASTER...LAWS REQUESTED BY...JOE SMITH TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110525.TERRA.01/BMX