FNUS74 KEPZ 261407
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR PELONA RX...NM-SDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
807 AM MDT THU MAY 26 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0810 MDT ON MAY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
INCREASING WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL RESULT IN A DEVELOPING LEE TROUGH
AND INCREASING WEST-SOUTHWEST FLOW AT THE SURFACE ACROSS THE REGION.
THIS WILL HELP BRING IN WARMER TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA...RESULTING
IN DECREASING RELATIVE HUMIDITY.  WINDS AT THE 20-FOOT LEVEL WILL
APPROACH CRITICAL VALUES TODAY AND FRIDAY... WITH WORSE CONDITIONS
EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND AS AN UPPER LOW MOVES INTO THE GREAT BASIN. ALSO
EXPECT POOR OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY WITH BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR TODAY...WITH FIRE WEATHER WATCHES
POSTED FOR TOMORROW AND SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........59 AT IGNITION...MAX 78.
RH..................19 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 6 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 18 TO 24 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
                    HIGHER GUSTS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 10300-10700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 13 KNOTS INCREASING TO WEST 27
                    TO 28 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION RATE....284,000 KNOT-FEET (EXCELLENT).


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48.
RH..................MAX 18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 15 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 8 TO 12
                    MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-400 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 30 KNOTS DECREASING TO 9 TO 10 KNOTS
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.


.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 80.
RH..................MIN AROUND 5 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 16 TO 21 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 10200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 24 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........244,800 KNOT-FEET (EXCELLENT).

$$

FORECASTER...HARDIMAN
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110525.PELON.01/EPZ