FNUS76 KMFR 251102
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSESHOE...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
402 AM PDT WED MAY 25 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 PDT ON MAY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING INLAND TODAY WILL PRODUCE
COPIUS AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION THROUGH THIS MORNING WITH SNOW LEVELS
LOWERING TO AROUND 5000 FEET. PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF AND GUSTY
SOUTH WINDS WILL SHIFT SOUTHWEST AND DECREASE BY NOON AS THE FRONT
MOVES INLAND. SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER CLOSER TO 4000 FEET TONIGHT BUT
PRECIPITATION WILL BE MINIMAL. ANOTHER FRONT ARRIVES THURSDAY WITH
SHOWERS CONTINUING AT TIMES RIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. PRECIP
ESTIMATES: TODAY .6", TONIGHT .10", THURSDAY .10 TO .20"

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN...SNOW AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    SNOW LEVEL 6500 FEET LOWERING TO NEAR 5000 FEET.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 4-7 MPH IN THE MORNING...SHIFTING
                    SOUTHWEST 3-5 MPH BY N0ON. THEN...WINDS SHIFTING
                    WEST 1-2 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. SNOW LEVEL 5000
                    FEET LOWERING TO 4000 FEET.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WIND 1-2 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 2-4 MPH.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY. SNOW LEVEL
                    4000 FEET RISING TO 5000 FEET.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 2-4 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 MPH.
CWR.................55 PERCENT.

$$

FORECASTER...STAVISH
REQUESTED BY...JOHN DONAHUE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110525.HORSE.01/MFR