FNUS72 KMHX 251035 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY FIRE...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 635 AM EDT WED MAY 25 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0629 EDT ON MAY 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SINK SOUTH INTO THE COASTAL WATERS BEFORE DISSIPATING LATER TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE OFFSHORE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5000-6200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 7 MPH. LVORI...............6. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............66 61 57 53 49 53 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................71 75 81 86 89 88 RH..................100 87 72 61 56 59 20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 3 W 2 SW 2 S 2 E 3 SE 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 LVORI...............9 5 3 2 2 2 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............58 62 60 58 56 54 WEATHER COV.........S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................86 81 78 76 74 73 RH..................63 72 79 85 87 87 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SE 5 SE 6 S 6 S 6 SW 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 10 10 10 LVORI...............2 3 4 4 5 5 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 20 TO 22 MPH LATE. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............51 49 42 33 27 22 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................72 78 86 89 90 90 RH..................90 74 57 50 49 49 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 6 SW 6 SW 8 SW 9 S 11 S 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 15 15 20 20 LVORI...............5 3 2 1 2 1 HAINES INDEX........3 4 4 4 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...COLLINS REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LUDLUM TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110525.PAINS.01/MHX