FNUS73 KMPX 251112
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOOSE LAKE...FWS LITCHFIELD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
612 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

NORTHEAST WINDS NEAR 15 MPH WILL PREVAIL AT THE BURN SITE TODAY.
ALTHOUGH A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS IS FORECAST...CONFIDENCE IS NOT
HIGH ON RAIN OCCURING WITH THE RAIN TODAY MAINLY SOUTH AND EAST OF
THE TWIN CITIES. MINIMUM HUMIDITY LATE THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE
BETWEEN 40 AND 45 PERCENT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 30
                    PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........59 AT IGNITION...MAX 63.
RH..................54 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 16 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 17
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (32300-75700) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (83800-134500) IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-5300 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 28 TO 33 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............55  57  59  60  61  62  63  63  63  62  61  58
RH..............60  58  54  52  50  49  46  45  44  46  46  49
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..14  14  14  15  15  15  15  15  14  14  12  11
20 FT WIND GUST.25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  20  20
HAINES INDEX....2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 42.
RH..................MAX 73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (72300-123400) DECREASING TO POOR TO
                    GOOD (1600-40900) EARLY IN THE EVENING.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 63.
RH..................MIN 36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1700-52000) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (52400-75800) LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-6300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 10 TO 16 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...HILTBRAND
REQUESTED BY...KRIS LARSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110525.GOOSE.01/MPX


SKY (%) LEGEND
CLR = CLEAR
MCR = MOSTLY CLEAR
PC = PARTLY CLOUDY
MC = MOSTLY CLOUDY
CDY = CLOUDY