FNAK79 PAFG 271752
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR FRANCIS CREEK...DIV OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
952 AM AKDT FRI MAY 27 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1259 AKDT ON MAY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
AKDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...A THERMAL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH OVER INTERIOR ALASKA
WILL PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY...THEN WEAKEN SLOWLY SUNDAY AND MONDAY
AS A WEAK WEATHER FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. TODAY
WILL BE SLIGHTLY WARMER AND DRIER THAN THURSDAY WITH RED FLAG
CONDITIONS CONSISTING OF RH'S LESS THAN 15% THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING IN THE SURROUNDING AREA. THE FIRE ITSELF IS EXPECTED TO
HAVE HIGHER RH DUE TO ITS ELEVATION AND NORTHWEST ASPECT.

SATURDAY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN HOT BUT TO BE SLIGHTLY LESS DRY
THAN TODAY. SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL BE COOLER THAN TODAY AND SATURDAY.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING UP SLOPE 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10600-10800 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........MISSING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10400-11700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BRADER
REQUESTED BY...BRENTWOOD REID
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110526.FRANC.01/AFG