FNUS75 KABQ 271321
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR FIRE...N2S
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
721 AM MDT FRI MAY 27 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

NOTE: RED FLAG WARNING IS TECHNICALLY IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
103...BUT REALLY ONLY FOR SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE ZONE...WELL SOUTH
OF FIRE SITE.

DISCUSSION...
NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT LYING ALONG TO JUST NORTH OF RATON RIDGE WILL
BE TRYING TO SLIP SOUTH INTO FAR NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO BETWEEN MID
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...BUT VERY DIFFICULT TO KNOW WITH
CERTAINTY IF IT WILL ACTUALLY MAKE IT PAST THE FIRE AREA TO PROVIDE A
WIND SHIFT. WILL PUT THE CHANCES OF IT DOING SO AT ABOUT 40 PERCENT.
SHOWER OR STORM CHANCES SHOULD REMAIN TO THE NORTH FURTHER IN COLORADO
BUT A FEW AFTERNOON BUILDUPS ARE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. FRONT WILL
BE DRIVEN NORTHEAST BACK OUT OF THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR
EVENING. 20 FT WINDS SHOULD BE A LITTLE STRONGER SUNDAY AFTERNOON
COMPARED TO TODAY.

FOR TODAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY SUNNY. A FEW BUILDUPS POSSIBLE MAINLY
                       TO THE NORTH.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 75-80.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 15-20 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........VARIABLE TERRAIN DOMINATED DIRECTION AT 5 TO
                       10 MPH TIL MID OR LATE MORNING. THEREAFTER
                       WINDS TO BLOW MORE FROM A SOUTHEAST THROUGH
                       SOUTHWEST DIRECTION 8 TO 17 MPH IN THE
                       AFTERNOON. GUSTS BETWEEN 20 AND 27 MPH. THERE
                       IS 2 TO 4 HOUR POTENTIAL FOR AN EAST TO
                       NORTHEAST WIND OF 6 TO 13 MPH BETWEEN LATE
                       MORNING AND MID AFTERNOON IF FRONT CAN MAKE IT
                       JUST PAST FIRE AREA.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY CLEAR.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49-53.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 31-36 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH THROUGH WEST 8 TO 18 MPH BECOMING
                       6 TO 13 MPH AFTER ABOUT 10 PM. GUSTS BETWEEN
                       20 AND 25 MPH POSSIBLE EARLY.

FOR SATURDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY SUNNY.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77-82.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 16-21 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO
                       13 TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 30
                       OR 35 MPH.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...43

$$

REQUESTED BY...CECILIA ESPARZA
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110527.BEARF.01/ABQ