FNUS72 KMHX 271926 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY FIRE...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 326 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1451 EDT ON MAY 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OFFSHORE WILL EXTEND WEST ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST LATE IN THE WEEK. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH...DIMINISHING TO 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-4600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH...DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (EDT) 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).............37 37 37 38 43 49 51 55 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................83 82 80 75 73 71 70 68 RH..................62 63 65 76 81 87 90 97 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 15 S 14 S 12 S 10 S 8 S 6 S 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 25 20 20 15 10 LVORI...............1 1 1 3 4 5 5 6 HAINES INDEX........5 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81. MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............57 60 61 63 64 62 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................68 73 79 81 81 81 RH..................97 81 67 63 63 63 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 5 S 5 S 6 S 8 S 9 S 10 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 15 14 15 LVORI...............6 4 3 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 4 3 3 3 4 .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............60 58 50 39 31 36 WEATHER COV.........S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................79 75 73 71 70 69 RH..................67 76 81 84 87 90 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 9 S 7 S 5 S 4 S 3 S 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 13 10 5 5 LVORI...............3 3 4 5 6 6 HAINES INDEX........4 5 5 5 4 4 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82. MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............43 48 42 35 27 20 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................69 71 76 79 81 81 RH..................93 87 74 67 65 63 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 2 S 2 SE 4 SE 5 SE 7 SE 7 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 10 13 13 LVORI...............6 6 3 3 3 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...ELARDO REQUESTED BY...LLOYD BROWN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110527.PAINS.02/MHX