FNUS75 KABQ 281847
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR...TAOS DISPATCH CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1247 PM MDT SAT MAY 28 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING DUE TO
STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT SUNDAY DUE
TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

DISCUSSION...
A SHALLOW MOISTURE PUSH HAS REACHED TRINIDAD BUT UNSURE WHETHER IT
HAS REACHED THE FIRE AREA YET. COOLER AIR AND HIGHER HUMIDITY
RESIDES BEHIND THIS EASTERLY PUSH WHILE MUCH WARMER AND DRIER AIR
RESIDES IN RATON. REGARDLESS...WENT WITH A DRIER...WARMER AND
WINDIER FORECAST FOR THE FIRE AREA THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON.
THUS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE
EARLY EVENING. HAINES 6 VALUES FOR THIS AFTERNOON.

THERE IS SOME VARYING MODEL GUIDANCE FOR THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD AND
HAVE DECIDED TO INTRODUCE THE SHALLOW MOISTURE PUSH TONIGHT FROM
THE NORTHEAST. THIS SHOULD HELP RECOVERIES SOME. A QUICK MIX OUT
IS EXPECTED SUNDAY MORNING WITH STRONG TO VERY STRONG SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS EXPECTED. THIS WILL DRIVE HUMIDITY VALUES INTO
THE SINGLE DIGITS FOR A PERIOD WITH HAINES 6 VALUES.

FOR TODAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY DUE TO CIRRUS CLOUDS MOST OF
                       THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 80-84.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 10-11 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS
                       BETWEEN 25 TO 35 MPH.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......12500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 31 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/387500 KNOT-FT.
   VENTILATION TREND...VERY GOOD/110133 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING EXCELLENT/379661 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY DUE TO HIGH CIRRUS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48-51.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 47-52 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........WEST/SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH BECOMING
                       NORTHEAST 4 TO 7 MPH BY LATE EVENING. GUSTS
                       TO AROUND 30 MPH EARLY EVENING.

FOR SUNDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY WITH MAINLY HIGHER CIRRUS.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77-81.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 8-10 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........UPSLOPE FLOW QUICKLY BECOMING SOUTH/SOUTHWEST
                       BETWEEN 0900 TO 1000. SPEEDS 10 TO
                       16 MPH. SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 20
                       TO 27 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS BETWEEN
                       35 TO 45 MPH.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......14500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 36 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/522000 KNOT-FT.
   VENTILATION TREND...EXCELLENT/183054 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING EXCELLENT/500000 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...50

$$

REQUESTED BY...TDC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110528.BEAR_.01/ABQ