FNAK79 PAFG 282201
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR HEALY CREEK...DIV OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
201 PM AKDT SAT MAY 28 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1343 AKDT ON MAY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A THERMAL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH FROM GALENA TO FAIRBANKS WILL MOVE NORTH AND
WEAKEN OVER THE UPPER YUKON VALLEY ON SUNDAY. HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE ALONG THIS TROUGH. TODAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO FRIDAY
WITH THE LOWEST HUMIDITIES IN THE UPPER TEENS.

A WEATHER FRONT OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL BRING SLIGHTLY COOLER AND
MORE MOIST CONDITIONS TO THE FIRE AREA SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS THE
WEATHER FRONT DRIFTS SLOWLY NORTH OVER ALASKA. THIS WILL WILL
PRODUCE A MORE UNSTABLE AIR MASS AND BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                   IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10,000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 MPH BECOMING WEST 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10,000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1200 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70 PERCENT). ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 GUSTING TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING 6800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BRADER
REQUESTED BY...ICC MACDONALD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110528.HEALY.01/AFG