FNUS72 KMHX 291918 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY FIRE...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 318 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1459 EDT ON MAY 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN CENTERED OVER THE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH A FEW WEAK SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SEA-BREEZE BOUNDARY THIS AFTERNOON. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THIS AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69. MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).............44 30 16 9 21 15 14 17 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE FOG FOG FOG TEMP................85 85 81 76 74 72 71 69 RH..................55 55 63 74 82 87 90 97 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 9 S 9 S 8 S 6 S 5 S 5 S 5 SW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 5 LVORI...............1 1 1 3 4 5 6 7 HAINES INDEX........3 3 4 4 3 4 4 3 .MEMORIAL DAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............19 25 16 18 30 32 WEATHER COV.........PATCHY PATCHY WEATHER TYPE........FOG FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................69 76 83 85 86 86 RH..................97 79 61 57 55 57 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 4 SW 5 SW 5 S 5 S 5 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 15 LVORI...............7 4 3 2 2 2 HAINES INDEX........3 3 4 4 4 4 .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 10 MPH. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............32 28 28 25 23 21 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................84 80 77 76 74 74 RH..................61 69 76 79 84 84 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 9 S 6 S 6 SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 10 LVORI...............2 3 4 4 5 5 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88. MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 8 MPH. LVORI...............4. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............18 15 19 23 26 28 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................73 76 81 85 87 87 RH..................90 85 69 61 57 57 20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 5 W 5 SW 4 SE 4 E 4 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 LVORI...............6 5 3 2 2 2 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...GLENN REQUESTED BY...LLOYD BROWN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110529.PAINS.02/MHX