FNAK79 PAFG 301755
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR MC CORD CREEK...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
955 AM AKDT MON MAY 30 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0814 AKDT ON MAY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A THERMAL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH NORTH OF THE FIRE IS WEAKER THAN YESTERDAY.
IT WILL PERSIST TODAY BUT REMAIN WEAK. WEST WINDS JUST SOUTH OF THIS
TROUGH ARE WEAKER THAN YESTERDAY.

MOISTURE HAS FLOWED INTO THE INTERIOR FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND IS CAUSING
MORE MOIST AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS IN THE FIRE AREA. THIS WILL RESULT
IN A THUNDERSTORMS ACTIVITY TODAY SIMILAR TO THAT OF YESTERDAY...BUT
TODAY EXPECT THE THUNDERSTORMS TO BE WETTER TODAY.

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE FIRE AREA LATE TONIGHT. THERE WILL BE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS FEATURE.

A STRONG WEATHER FRONT IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE SOUTHERLY CHINOOK WINDS
ACROSS THE ALASKA RANGE TUE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 3-5 MPH BECOMING WEST 5-8 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 MPH DECREASING TO 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 9800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BRADER
REQUESTED BY...JAMES HIGGINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110530.MCCOR.01/AFG