FNAK79 PAFG 311815
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST VOLKMAR...DELTA AREA FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1015 AM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0909 AKDT ON MAY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A THERMAL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WELL NORTH OF THE FIRE WILL
STRENGTHEN THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN MOVE SOUTH TO OVER THE FIRE WED AFTERNOON.
THIS WILL CAUSE WINDS AT THE FIRE TO REMAIN SOUTHWEST THROUGH EARLY WED
THEN TURN NORTHWEST WED PM AS THE TROUGH MOVES OVER THE FIRE.
A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS TODAY WILL GIVE A SLIGHT THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON BUT END BY THIS EVENING.

SOUTHERLY CHINOOK WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE ALASKA RANGE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. THE CHINOOK WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE
LATE TONIGHT. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF THE TANANA RIVER
AND ARE NOT EXPECTED TO REACH THE FIRE AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 10G18 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    WINDS GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 G18 MPH IN THE EVENING DECREASING
                    3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 3-5 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 3-5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...BRADER
REQUESTED BY...BILL ANEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110531.EASTV.01/AFG