FNAK79 PAFG 311844
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR TATALINA RIVER...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1044 AM AKDT TUE MAY 31 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0949 AKDT ON MAY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A THERMAL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH NORTH OF THE FIRE WILL
STRENGTHEN THIS AFTERNOON CAUSING SOUTHWEST WINDS TO INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON.
THE TROUGH WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE FIRE WED CAUSING WINDS TO TURN
NORTHEAST ON WED. A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS TODAY WILL GIVE
A SLIGHT THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON BUT END BY THIS EVENING.

SOUTHERLY CHINOOK WINDS WILL BLOW ACROSS THE ALASKA RANGE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT. THE STRONG WINDS WILL REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF THE FIRE BUT WILL
WILL KEEP CONDITIONS DRY AGAIN TODAY INTO TONIGHT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY WITH SMOKE(30). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 3-5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 7-11 MPH BY 2PM.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 11 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDS INCREASING AFTER MIDNIGHT (60-70 PERCENT).
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EARLY EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 7 G11 MPH DIMINISHING AFTER 10 MPH AND
                    BECOMING NORTHEAST 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EARLY EVENING.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 3-5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BRADER
REQUESTED BY...IC SAMPSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110531.TATAL.02/AFG