FNUS72 KMFL 311213
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR HARNEY RIVER RX...EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
813 AM EDT TUE MAY 31 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MAY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE WINDS WILL REMAIN EASTERLY TODAY AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH
TRANSPORT WINDS AROUND 25 MPH...DUE TO A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN A HIGH TO THE NORTH AND A AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TO THE
SOUTH. THE DISPERSION INDEX WILL ALSO BE IN THE 60S WHICH IS IN
THE GOOD RANGE FOR TODAY.

THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND MAYBE A THUNDERSTORM
THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE BURN SITE. THE PRIMARY IMPACTS FROM ANY
STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL BE LIGHTNING STRIKES...GUSTY WINDS UP
TO 30 MPH...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE BEST TIME FOR THE
STORMS WILL BE BETWEEN 1 PM EDT AND 7 PM EDT TODAY.
.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 52 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 16 TO 22 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....16 INCREASING TO 64.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........50     50     50     50     50     50
WEATHER COV.....              CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
TEMP............80     86     89     86     86     84
RH..............74     59     52     57     57     61
20 FT WIND......NE 11  E 12   E 12   E 12   E 12   E 12
20 FT WIND GUST.25     25     25     25     25     25
EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 11  E 12   E 12   E 12   E 12   E 12
EYE LEVEL WIND..25     25     25     25     25     25
MIX HGT (FT)....2800   4500   4500   4500   4000   4000
MIXNG WIND......NE 21  E 22   E 22   E 22   E 22   E 22
DISPERSION IDX..47     64     64     64     63     63
LVORI...........3      3      3      3      3      6
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     30     30     30
LAL.............1      3      3      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 95 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-1100 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 13 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....63 DECREASING TO 13.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 53 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 21 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 55.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BAXTER
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW GILL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110531.HARNE.01/MFL