FNUS72 KMHX 310920
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PAIN BAY...NCDFR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
520 AM EDT TUE MAY 31 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0503 EDT ON MAY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN CENTERED OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
TODAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE
LATER THIS AFTERNOON. ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.

.EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)          5 AM
SKY (%).............1
WEATHER COV.........PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE
TEMP................72
RH..................93
20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....
LVORI...............9
HAINES INDEX........4

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. PATCHY SMOKE UNTIL LATE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 13 MPH.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............1      2      8      10     11     10
WEATHER COV.........PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  SMOKE  NONE   NONE
TEMP................72     78     83     85     86     86
RH..................93     79     70     65     61     61
20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 5    NW 5   N 6    N 8    NE 8   NE 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....              15     15     15     15
LVORI...............6      4      3      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX........4      5      5      5      5      4

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 14 MPH.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............12     15     18     19     22     34
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................84     79     76     75     72     70
RH..................65     74     79     82     87     93
20 FT WIND (MPH)....NE 8   NE 6   NE 6   NE 6   NE 6   E 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15     15     15
LVORI...............1      3      5      6      7      9
HAINES INDEX........4      4      5      5      5      4

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............38     38     32     32     32     33
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................69     72     77     80     82     82
RH..................93     87     74     67     63     63
20 FT WIND (MPH)....E 5    NE 5   E 5    E 5    E 6    E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....                            10     10
LVORI...............9      6      5      4      3      3
HAINES INDEX........4      5      4      4      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...GLENN
REQUESTED BY...GARY M CURCIO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110531.PAINB.01/MHX