FNUS72 KMHX 311532 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 1132 AM EDT TUE MAY 31 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1114 EDT ON MAY 31. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... OVER THE FIRE AREA...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO VEER TO THE NORTHEAST THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...GUSTING AROUND 15 TO UP TO 20 MPH THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY. TEMPERATURES HAVE REACHED THEIR MAX LATE THIS MORNING...AND SHOULD REMAIN STEADY OR SLOWLY FALL INTO THE UPPER 80S THIS AFTERNOON AS WINDS BECOME NORTHEASTERLY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALS STILL EXPECTED IN THE 50S PERCENTILE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. PATCHY SMOKE UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2900-4600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 16 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............8 10 9 6 WEATHER COV.........PATCHY PATCHY WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE SMOKE NONE NONE TEMP................90 88 90 90 RH..................56 57 54 54 20 FT WIND (MPH)....N 9 NE 10 NE 9 NE 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 17 16 15 LVORI...............1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 14 MPH. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............8 15 17 20 22 34 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................88 79 73 71 70 67 RH..................57 74 87 93 93 100 20 FT WIND (MPH)....E 7 E 6 E 5 NE 5 NE 5 E 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 5 LVORI...............1 3 5 6 6 9 HAINES INDEX........4 4 5 5 5 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85. MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 1700-2400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............37 37 32 32 32 33 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................65 70 76 81 84 83 RH..................100 93 79 65 59 59 20 FT WIND (MPH)....E 4 NE 5 E 5 E 5 E 6 E 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 10 HAINES INDEX........4 5 4 4 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...LONKA REQUESTED BY...DON WATSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110531.PAINS.01/MHX