FNUS72 KMHX 311938 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 338 PM EDT TUE MAY 31 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1522 EDT ON MAY 31. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRES WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY CONDITIONS TO THE FIRE AREA. NE GUSTY WINDS THIS EVENING WILL SUBSIDE...WHILE SLOWLY VEERING TO EAST BY EARLY WED MORNING AND SE LATE WED AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPS WILL BE HOT AGAIN ON WED. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL ONCE AGAIN BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOW 50S PERCENTILE WED AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 14 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 2 TO 3 MPH LATE. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............9 17 14 12 9 12 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................88 79 76 73 71 69 RH..................57 69 84 93 93 93 20 FT WIND (MPH)....E 8 E 6 E 6 E 5 E 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....12 10 10 LVORI...............1 3 5 6 6 7 HAINES INDEX........4 5 5 5 5 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3100-4400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............15 18 20 23 25 25 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................68 72 79 85 88 87 RH..................97 74 59 57 54 50 20 FT WIND (MPH)....NE 4 NE 4 E 5 E 5 E 5 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 LVORI...............8 3 3 2 2 2 HAINES INDEX........4 5 5 5 5 5 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH. LVORI...............6. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............26 26 36 49 59 57 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................85 79 76 73 71 70 RH..................53 72 79 87 93 97 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SE 6 SE 6 S 7 S 7 SW 7 W 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 10 LVORI...............2 3 4 5 6 7 HAINES INDEX........5 5 4 4 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2200-3300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 12 TO 18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING EAST 3 TO 8 MPH LATE. LVORI...............5. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............55 53 47 40 34 32 WEATHER COV.........S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................69 72 77 81 83 82 RH..................100 90 71 56 46 49 20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 5 NW 5 NW 6 N 8 NE 9 NE 8 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 15 15 15 LVORI...............9 6 3 1 2 2 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 4 5 $$ FORECASTER...LONKA REQUESTED BY...DON WATSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110531.PAINS.02/MHX