FNUS72 KMHX 312244
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY...NCDFR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
644 PM EDT TUE MAY 31 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1900 EDT ON MAY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A LARGE UPPER RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. SEVERAL WEAK COLD FRONTS WILL
PASS THROUGH THE AREA THROUGH THIS COMING WEEKEND. THE FIRST WILL
PASS THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH ANOTHER FRONT PASSING THROUGH
ON SATURDAY OR SUNDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7
                    MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 14 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 2 TO 3
                    MPH LATE.

TIME (EDT)          7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).............14     16     13     10     10     14
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................83     79     74     72     70     69
RH..................98     90     87     90     93     97
20 FT WIND (MPH)....E 0    E 3    E 5    E 5    E 5    E 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....       5
HAINES INDEX........5      5      5      5      5      4

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3100-4400 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............15     18     20     23     25     25
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................68     72     79     85     88     87
RH..................97     74     59     57     54     50
20 FT WIND (MPH)....NE 4   NE 4   E 5    E 5    E 5    E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5                           10
HAINES INDEX........4      5      5      5      5      5

$$

FORECASTER...AUSTIN
REQUESTED BY...DON WATSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110531.PAINS.03/MHX