FNUS75 KPUB 312000
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR COMPLEX...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
200 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH SINGLE DIGIT
RELATIVE HUMIDITY THROUGH EARLY EVENING. WINDS WILL SHIFT SLIGHTLY FROM
THE SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH BY LATE AFTERNOON...AND WILL REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH
SUNSET. WINDS WILL RELAX THIS EVENING BUT WILL NOT COMPLETELY QUIET
DOWN...EXCEPT6 POSSIBLY LATE TONIGHT. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
AGAIN INCREASE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH AFTERNOON...BUT WILL NOT
BE QUITE AS STRONG AS TODAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY
HIGHER ON WEDNESDAY AS SOME MOISTURE MOVES NORTHWARD FROM NORTHEAST NEW
MEXICO AND THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. A FEW STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS
COULD POTENTIALLY DEVELOP LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE RATON RIDGE.
THESE STORMS COULD RESULT IN LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS FROM 50 TO 60 MPH.
ONLY MODEST PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FROM THESE ISOLATED STORMS. A
RETURN TO VERY DRY CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY WITH CONTINUED
GUSTY WINDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST AT 25 TO 35 MPH.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55F.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35
                    MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 35 MPH UNTIL 0500...THEN AROUND 45
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000...THEN FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1300...THEN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-30 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL UNTIL 1300...THEN 11500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 40 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    AROUND 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1300.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3.

$$
FORECASTER...ROSE
REQUESTED BY...JESSE DUHNKRACK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110531.BEARC.01/PUB