FNUS75 KPUB 312235
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR PURGATORIE...CSFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
435 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

WIND WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING IN THE FIRE AREA...ALTHOUGH IT DOES
LOOK LIKE THERE WILL STILL BE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS THROUGH THE
NIGHT RANGING BETWEEN 10 AND 20 MPH. RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY IS
EXPECTED TO BE BETTER TONIGHT AS SOME LOW LEVEL INCREASE IN MOISTURE
IS EXPECTED.  FOR WEDNESDAY IT WILL BECOME QUITE WINDY AGAIN...BUT
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HIGHER AND THUS A RED FLAG
WARNING IS NOT IN EFFECT FOR WEDNESDAY.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58F.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 17-21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN 11-16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 34 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(49 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-94F.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-20 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN 20-30 MPH
                    GUSTS OF 35-40 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 11000 FT AGL AFTER
                    1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 34 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT BY 1200.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3.

$$
FORECASTER...EVENSON
REQUESTED BY...JESSE DUHNKRACK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110531.PURGA.02/PUB