FNUS76 KLOX 010533
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR RANCHO 10...CNTY LAC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1033 PM PDT TUE MAY 31 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON JUNE 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STRENGTHENING ONSHORE FLOW PATTERN WILL COOL AND
MOISTEN THE AIR MASS THROUGH THURSDAY. ONSHORE BREEZES IN THE
AFTERNOON WILL BECOME A LITTLE STRONGER ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
AS A SERIES OF WEAK COLD FRONTS WASHING OUT OVER THE AREA INCREASE
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS. SOME DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE BURN AREA ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A NORTHERLY
GRADIENT DEVELOPS BETWEEN FRONTS. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESS COULD
DROP SOUTH OVER THE WEEKEND BRINGING A CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS TO
THE BURN AREA.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...MAINLY HIGH CLOUDINESS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-76 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-31 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE-LEVEL)....
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 3 MPH AT
    IGINITION TIME...INCREASING TO 4 TO 8 MPH
    WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH BY 1200 HOURS.
WIND (20 FT)........
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL OR LESS EARLY...LIFTING TO 5000 FT
    AGL BY 1400 HOURS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...MAINLY HIGH CLOUDINESS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-48 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-87 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE-LEVEL)....
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS
    TO 8 MPH UNTIL 2100 HOURS...THEN SHIFTING TO
    THE NORTH AND INCREASING TO 6 TO 9 MPH WITH
    GUSTS AROUND 11 MPH AROUND MIDNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 2000 HOURS...
    THEN SHIFTING TO NORTH AND INCREASING TO 10 TO
    20 MPH AROUND 2300 HOURS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 2100 HOURS...
    THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.


FORECASTER...HALL
REQUESTED BY...DREW SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110601.RANCH.01/LOX

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