FNUS72 KMHX 011400 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 1000 AM EDT WED JUN 1 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0924 EDT ON JUNE 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... LIGHT NORTHEAST BREEZE THIS MORNING WILL VEER SOUTHEAST BY LATE AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE IN THE 50S PERCENTILE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE FIRE AREA. SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE WILL BE CAUSE FOR SCT CU DEVELOPMENT THROUGH TODAY...THOUGH NO PRECIP WILL OCCUR AS THE AREA IS UNDER HIGH PRES BOTH ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE. WEAK COLD FRONT WILL DROP THROUGH THIS EVENING...THOUGH VERY SLIM CHANCES OF PRECIP WILL OCCUR...SO OPTED TO LEAVE OUT OF THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87. MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO AROUND 4500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 9 MPH. LVORI...............6 THIS MORNING...DECREASING TO 1 THIS AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............20 26 23 23 21 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................77 82 86 87 86 RH..................97 77 61 59 59 20 FT WIND (MPH)....NW 2 NE 4 E 6 E 7 SE 8 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 10 15 15 LVORI...............7 3 2 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING...DECREASING TO 300-600 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH. LVORI...............3 EARLY IN THE EVENING...INCREASING TO 6 LATE IN THE EVENING AND THE OVERNIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............20 14 29 33 32 31 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................85 79 73 72 71 69 RH..................61 74 90 93 93 100 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SE 8 S 7 S 5 S 5 SW 4 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 5 LVORI...............2 3 6 6 6 9 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 4 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85. MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 2500-3000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING THROUGH AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 18 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH LATE. LVORI...............8 EARLY IN THE MORNING...DECREASING TO AROUND 2 IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............29 28 39 41 34 32 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................68 72 77 81 84 83 RH..................100 87 71 56 44 47 20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 5 NW 5 NW 8 N 10 NE 11 NE 10 20 FT WIND GUST..... 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............8 5 3 1 2 2 HAINES INDEX........3 4 4 4 4 5 $$ FORECASTER...LONKA REQUESTED BY...DON WATSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110601.PAINS.01/MHX