FNUS75 KPUB 012009
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR PURGATORIE...CSFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
209 PM MDT WED JUN 1 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY. A MINOR EMBEDDED WAVE MOVING
ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTEROON WILL HELP DEVELOP SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN SOUTH AND WEST OF THE BURN SITE THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
AND GUSTY WINDS TO AROUND 60 MPH WITH SMALL HAIL AND BRIEF PERIODS OF RAIN
EXPECTED WITH THE STRONGEST CELLS.  GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO MIX
DOWN ACROSS THE BURN SITE LATE TOMORROW MORNING WHICH WILL HELP DRY OUT THE
LOWER ATMOSPHERE AND CREATE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE BURN
SITE TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(65 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY(45 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100...THEN ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64F.
MAX HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 20-24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2400.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 37 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    2300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2400...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2100...THEN 3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(32 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....93-98F.
MIN HUMIDITY........6-11 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 23-27 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 51 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 16000 FT AGL AFTER
                    1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 40 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1000.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...WANKOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...JESSE DUHNKRACK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110601.PURGA.01/PUB