FNUS75 KBOU 031040 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR KEYSTONE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 440 AM MDT FRI JUN 3 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL THROUGH SATURDAY. WESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AS WINDS ALOFT MIX DOWN. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER TODAY THAN YESTERDAY. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA SATURDAY BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND A SLIGHT INCREASE IN WINDS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-68. MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE 2-5 MPH BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 7-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16-24 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 28-36 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 11800-12800 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0800... THEN GOOD UNTIL 0900...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37. MAX HUMIDITY........45-5%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 3-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-20 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......11800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2200. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-72. MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 4-10 MPH INCREASING TO 10-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH AROUND NOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 12200-13200 FT AGL AFTER 1500. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR KESTONE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/03-04 12 0 0 38 37 SW 8 13 3 1 SW61 319 SW 9 2637 P 06/03-05 12 0 0 37 42 S 8 8 3 1 SW63 275 SW 9 2195 P 06/03-06 4 0 0 37 44 S 8 8 3 1 SW63 232 S 9 1753 P 06/03-07 4 0 0 38 42 S 9 9 3 1 SW62 2141 S14 41660 F 06/03-08 4 0 0 44 34 S12 12 3 1 SW59 4049 SW18 81567 G 06/03-09 4 0 0 53 24 S14 22 3 1 SW56 5958 SW23 121474 V 06/03-10 4 0 0 57 20 S15 24 3 1 SW58 7696 SW28 196052 E 06/03-11 4 0 0 59 19 SW16 25 2 1 SW59 9433 SW31 270630 E 06/03-12 16 0 0 62 17 SW16 25 2 1 SW59 11170 SW36 345208 E 06/03-13 16 0 0 63 16 SW17 26 2 1 SW55 11910 SW35 353616 E 06/03-14 16 0 0 64 16 SW17 26 2 1 SW51 12650 SW33 362024 E 06/03-15 16 0 0 64 17 SW16 25 2 1 S46 13390 SW32 370432 E 06/03-16 16 0 0 65 17 SW14 22 2 1 S44 12849 SW29 326982 E 06/03-17 16 0 0 63 18 SW10 10 2 1 SW43 12308 SW26 283531 E 06/03-18 16 1 0 62 20 W 8 8 2 2 SW41 11767 SW23 240081 E 06/03-19 16 1 0 59 23 SW 6 6 2 2 SW40 9347 SW20 174281 E 06/03-20 16 1 0 55 27 SW 5 5 2 2 SW39 6927 SW15 108482 V 06/03-21 16 1 0 51 31 SW 5 5 2 2 SW39 4507 SW10 42682 F 06/03-22 16 1 0 48 35 SW 6 6 2 2 SW38 3237 S 9 29744 P 06/03-23 16 1 0 47 37 SW 9 9 2 2 SW38 1967 S 8 16807 P 06/04-00 18 0 0 44 42 S10 10 2 1 SW37 697 S 7 3869 P 06/04-01 18 0 0 41 46 S 9 9 2 1 SW36 530 S 7 3007 P 06/04-02 18 0 0 40 47 S 8 8 2 1 SW35 363 S 7 2146 P 06/04-03 18 0 0 38 49 S 7 7 2 1 SW35 195 S 8 1284 P 06/04-04 18 0 0 38 49 S 7 7 2 1 SW36 227 S 8 1545 P 06/04-05 18 0 0 38 48 S 7 7 2 1 SW37 258 S 8 1805 P 06/04-06 11 0 0 38 48 SE 7 7 2 1 SW37 289 SE 8 2066 P 06/04-07 11 0 0 40 44 S 8 8 2 1 SW36 1933 S12 29346 P 06/04-08 11 0 0 46 35 S10 10 3 1 SW35 3577 SW15 56626 F 06/04-09 11 0 0 52 28 SW12 12 3 1 SW35 5221 SW18 83906 G 06/04-10 11 0 0 57 23 SW13 13 3 1 SW33 6957 SW18 113799 V 06/04-11 11 0 0 61 20 SW13 13 2 1 SW33 8694 SW18 143692 V 06/04-12 48 10 2 64 18 SW14 22 2 2 SW33 10431 SW20 173585 E 06/04-13 48 10 2 66 17 SW15 24 2 2 SW31 11338 SW20 188626 E 06/04-14 48 10 2 66 17 SW16 25 2 2 SW30 12246 SW20 203667 E 06/04-15 48 20 4 67 17 SW17 28 2 3 SW28 13153 SW20 218707 E 06/04-16 48 20 4 68 18 W17 28 2 3 SW26 12579 SW18 206894 E 06/04-17 48 20 4 67 19 W17 28 2 3 SW26 12006 SW18 195082 E 06/04-18 52 9 2 66 20 W16 25 2 1 SW26 11432 SW18 183269 E 06/04-19 52 9 2 64 22 W15 24 2 1 SW28 9297 SW17 144814 V 06/04-20 52 9 2 59 25 W13 13 2 1 W30 7161 SW16 106359 V 06/04-21 52 6 1 55 29 W12 12 2 1 W32 5026 SW16 67905 G 06/04-22 52 6 1 53 31 SW 9 9 2 1 W31 3554 SW13 46750 F 06/04-23 52 6 1 50 34 SW 8 8 2 1 W30 2082 SW10 25596 P 06/05-00 23 3 1 48 36 S 7 7 2 1 W30 610 SW 8 4441 P 06/05-01 23 3 1 47 37 S 7 7 2 1 W33 478 SW 8 3425 P 06/05-02 23 3 1 45 39 S 7 7 3 1 SW37 346 S 8 2409 P 06/05-03 23 1 0 44 41 S 7 7 3 1 SW40 213 S 8 1393 P 06/05-04 23 1 0 43 41 S 7 7 3 1 SW44 206 S 8 1350 P 06/05-05 23 1 0 43 42 S 7 7 2 1 W46 199 S 8 1308 P 06/05-06 15 2 0 43 42 S 7 7 2 1 W47 191 SW 8 1266 P 06/05-07 15 2 0 45 39 SW 8 8 2 1 W46 1884 SW12 30485 P 06/05-08 15 2 0 51 33 SW10 10 2 1 W45 3577 W15 59705 F 06/05-09 15 2 0 56 28 W13 13 2 1 W43 5270 W20 88924 G 06/05-10 15 2 0 61 23 W14 22 2 1 W41 7292 W21 131626 V 06/05-11 15 2 0 65 20 W15 24 2 1 W40 9315 W21 174328 E 06/05-12 50 10 2 68 18 W16 25 2 1 W38 11337 W22 217030 E 06/05-13 50 10 2 69 17 W16 25 2 1 W33 12350 W20 211303 E 06/05-14 50 10 2 70 17 W16 25 2 1 W26 13362 W18 205576 E 06/05-15 53 7 1 71 17 W15 24 2 1 W22 14375 W16 199849 E 06/05-16 53 7 1 71 16 W14 22 2 1 W18 13994 W15 181101 E 06/05-17 53 7 1 71 17 W13 13 2 1 W16 13612 W14 162353 E 06/05-18 55 8 2 69 18 NW12 12 2 1 W14 13231 W13 143605 V 06/05-19 55 8 2 67 19 NW 9 9 2 1 W13 10171 W10 102255 V 06/05-20 55 8 2 62 22 N 7 7 2 1 W13 7111 W 8 60906 G 06/05-21 52 8 2 58 26 NE 6 6 2 1 W14 4051 NW 6 19557 P 06/05-22 52 5 1 55 29 NE 6 6 2 1 W16 2791 W 6 13477 P 06/05-23 52 5 1 52 31 SE 6 6 2 1 W20 1530 S 6 7398 P 06/06-00 44 5 1 50 34 SE 7 7 2 1 W23 270 SE 6 1318 P 06/06-01 44 7 1 48 38 S 7 7 2 1 W24 240 S 7 1302 P 06/06-02 44 7 1 47 42 S 8 8 2 1 W24 210 S 7 1287 P 06/06-03 34 7 1 45 46 S 8 8 2 1 W22 180 S 8 1271 P 06/06-04 34 7 1 44 48 S 8 8 2 1 W20 186 S 8 1371 P 06/06-05 34 7 1 44 50 S 9 9 2 1 W16 191 S 9 1470 P 06/06-06 33 11 2 44 51 SW 9 9 2 1 W12 197 SW 9 1570 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...GRAND JUNCTION REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110603.KEYST.01/BOU