FNUS71 KCTP 031244 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR LADY SLIPPER...OFFICE STATE FIRE COMMISSIONER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 844 AM EDT FRI JUN 3 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0806 EDT ON JUNE 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... ABUNDANT SUNSHINE AND A LIGHT TO MODERATE NORTHWEST BREEZE WILL COMBINE WITH AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE 70S TO YIELD LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ONCE AGAIN TODAY. WINDS WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 10-15 MPH RANGE...WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE. RH/S WILL DROP TO BETWEEN 25 AND 30 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SOUTHEAST FROM THE LOWER GREAT LAKES WILL BECOME CENTERED OVER PENNSYLVANIA TONIGHT...CAUSING WINDS TO BECOME NEARLY CALM. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH ON SATURDAY... BRINGING INCREASED HUMIDITY...CLOUDS AND THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5500-6400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 16 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 17 TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............4 4 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................53 56 60 63 67 70 72 73 74 74 RH..................66 57 49 42 37 32 29 27 26 26 20 FT WIND DIR......NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD......3 3 6 9 10 12 12 12 12 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 15 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.9 2.3 4.1 5.5 6.2 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.2 5.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.....12 14 16 18 20 18 18 18 17 17 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44. MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-5200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 17 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............6 6 7 8 10 11 12 12 11 12 16 19 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................71 67 62 58 54 50 48 47 46 45 44 44 RH..................28 34 41 49 58 66 72 76 79 80 81 79 20 FT WIND DIR......NW N N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD......9 7 6 5 3 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......5.2 4.4 3.5 2.3 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.....17 16 15 12 8 5 3 3 3 3 5 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4300-4700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 9 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............23 29 42 58 68 69 WEATHER COV......... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................45 49 61 70 73 73 RH..................83 80 53 41 39 41 20 FT WIND..........NW 1 NW 1 NW 2 NW 5 W 7 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)........200 800 2600 4100 4700 4600 TRANSPORT WIND......NW 5 NW 6 NW 5 NW 7 NW 9 N 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 10 10 20 30 30 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 4 4 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...LAMBERT REQUESTED BY...JIM STAUFENBERG TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110603.LADYS.01/CTP