FNUS72 KMHX 031916 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAIN BAY...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 316 PM EDT FRI JUN 3 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1507 EDT ON JUNE 03. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A STATIONARY FRONT WILL LINGER WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY...THEN DISSIPATE. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST...AND INTO THE CAROLINAS SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH FROM THE NORTHWEST SUNDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES BEHIND THE FRONT INTO NEXT WEEK. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF SMOKE AND PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH THIS EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-4000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EDT) 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).............58 56 52 47 37 27 24 23 WEATHER COV......... AREAS AREAS WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE SMOKE SMOKE TEMP................80 79 72 68 66 65 63 63 RH..................38 38 51 57 61 60 65 70 20 FT WIND (MPH)....NE 13 NE 10 NE 8 NE 6 N 5 N 5 N 4 N 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 20 15 10 5 5 LVORI...............1 1 1 2 3 3 3 3 HAINES INDEX........4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF SMOKE AND PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............22 21 26 32 37 39 WEATHER COV.........AREAS WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................64 68 73 77 79 79 RH..................70 61 49 43 41 41 20 FT WIND (MPH)....N 5 N 6 N 7 N 7 N 6 NE 8 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 15 15 10 15 LVORI...............3 3 2 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............43 45 49 55 59 64 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................77 76 74 73 72 71 RH..................47 52 59 68 76 81 20 FT WIND (MPH)....NE 7 E 5 SE 5 S 5 S 5 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 LVORI...............1 1 2 3 4 4 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 4 4 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4400-5900 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...DECREASING TO 2100-3200 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............71 76 77 78 79 81 WEATHER COV......... SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................70 73 78 81 83 83 RH..................87 81 71 65 63 61 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 7 S 8 S 9 S 9 S 8 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 15 15 15 15 10 LVORI...............5 4 3 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...ELARDO REQUESTED BY...LLOYD BROWN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110603.PAINB.03/MHX