FNUS75 KPUB 031835
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR MCCLOY...LA JUNTA FD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1235 PM MDT FRI JUN 3 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVED ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS
THIS MORNING AND HAS STALLED JUST SOUTH OF THE BURN SITE ACROSS EASTERN
LAS ANIMAS COUNTY AT THIS TIME. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO LIFT BACK
NORTH ACROSS THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON WITH EASTERLY WINDS SHIFTING
TO THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WHICH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE LATE EVENING
WHEN WINDS AREA EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE NORTH TO NORTHWEST. THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM TO DEVELOP ALONG THIS FRONT LATER
THIS AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH AND CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING THE MAIN THREATS FROM ANY STORMS. NORTHERLY WINDS TOMORROW
MORNING WITH SHIFT TO THE EAST WITH A MORE UPSLOPE WIND PATTERN SETTING
UP ACROSS THE REGION.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(40 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....91-96F.
MIN HUMIDITY........4-9 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS 8-15 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1300...THEN WEST UNTIL
                    1400...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 2.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(47 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61F.
MAX HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH
                    UNTIL 2200...THEN NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN WEST
                    AROUND 18 MPH UNTIL 2300...THEN NORTH AROUND 14
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNITIL 1800...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(41 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93F.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH 8-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN EAST 10-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 12000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    SOUTHEAST.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN
                    VERY GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 2.

$$
FORECASTER...WANKOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...AARON EVEATT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110603.MCCLO.01/PUB