FNUS75 KPUB 032128
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR MCCLOY...LA JUNTA FD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
328 PM MDT FRI JUN 3 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WHICH MOVED ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS
THIS MORNING HAS STALLED JUST SOUTH OF THE BURN SITE ACROSS EASTERN LAS ANIMAS
COUNTY AT THIS TIME. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO LIFT BACK NORTH ACROSS THE AREA
LATER THIS EVENING WITH EASTERLY WINDS CURRENTLY ACROSS THE AREA SHIFTING TO
THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE LATE EVENING HOURS. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL
FOR AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM TO DEVELOP ALONG THIS FRONT LATER THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING THE
MAIN THREATS FROM ANY STORMS. NORTHERLY WINDS TOMORROW MORNING WILL SHIFT TO
THE EAST WITH A MORE UPSLOPE WIND PATTERN SETTING UP ACROSS THE REGION WITH
ANOTHER CHANCE FOR LATE AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(52 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY(46 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65F.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH
                    UNTIL 1900 LOCAL...THEN BECOMING WEST TO SOUTHWEST 10-14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......14000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 27 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN AROUND 5
                    MPH UNTIL 0200...THEN SOUTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    2100...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(36 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-94F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS AROUND 11 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    EAST TO NORTHEAST 10-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 13000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1300.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 3.

$$
FORECASTER...WANKOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...AARON EVEATT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110603.MCCLO.02/PUB