FNAK79 PAFG 051448
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 247 MCCORD CREEK...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
648 AM AKDT SUN JUN 5 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1958 AKDT ON JUNE 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE NEAR DAWSON WILL APPROACH THE FIRE AREA FROM
THE EAST THIS EVENING AND MOVE OVER THE FIRE MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL
CAUSE A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING. IT WILL CAUSE A CHANCE OF RAIN LATE TONIGHT
AND MONDAY MORNING.

A THERMAL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH FAR NORTH OF THE FIRE NEAR THE BROOKS RANGE
WILL MOVE SOUTH TO JUST NORTH OF THE FIRE BY MON MORNING. THIS WILL CAUSE
SOUTHWEST WINDS TO INCREASE SLIGHTLY ON MONDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS (65 PERCENT).
                    ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 GUST 13 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3000 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 11 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDS DECREASING BY LATE AFTERNOON. (75 PERCENT).
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 MPH. GUSTS 15 MP IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BRADER
REQUESTED BY...WENDY FINNEGAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110604.247MC.02/AFG