FNUS71 KCTP 041101 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR DCNR TRAINING...OFFICE STATE FIRE COMMISSIONER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 701 AM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0646 EDT ON JUNE 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL DIVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA BY TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS TO EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA TODAY AND A CHANCE OF LATE DAY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE WEST. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL FALL ACROSS THE STATE TONIGHT...AS THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER DIVES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE STATE. A LINGERING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL STALL OUT ACROSS EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA ON SUNDAY...RESULTING IN THE RISK OF A FEW AFTERNOON SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. MEANWHILE...FAIR AND DRIER WEATHER WILL BE OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE STATE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600-4500 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............34 38 59 63 70 74 77 82 85 84 83 81 WEATHER COV......... CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW RW TEMP................50 51 53 57 61 65 68 71 72 72 72 71 RH..................74 74 74 62 52 43 40 38 38 38 39 41 20 FT WIND DIR......NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W SW S 20 FT WIND SPD......2 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.2 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.6 3.4 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.9 4.4 4.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....3 3 5 7 9 10 8 6 3 3 3 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 30 30 40 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...WFO CTP REQUESTED BY...JIM STAUFENBERG TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110604.DCNRT.01/CTP