FNUS71 KCTP 041707 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR DCNR TRAINING...OFFICE STATE FIRE COMMISSIONER NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 107 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0646 EDT ON JUNE 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... CLOUDS HAVE INCREASED AS EARLIER FORECAST...AND SHOWERS HAVE PUSHED INTO THE NORTHERN TIER OF CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA WITH A FEW STRONGER STORMS LIMITED TO NORTHWEST SECTIONS. STRONG STORMS WILL STAY WEST OF THE SPOT FORECAST AREA...WITH THE DISTURBANCE BRINGING SHOWERS OVER THE FORECAST AREA BY MID AFTERNOON. WINDS MAY BRIEFLY GUST FROM THE NORTHWEST BETWEEN 15 TO 20 MPH AT THE ONSET OF RAIN AS THE AREA ARRIVES FROM THE NORTHWEST... BUT OTHERWISE WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE STRONG. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON. A RUMBLE OF THUNDER IS POSSIBLE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER 230 PM...THEN LIGHT SOUTHWEST AFTER 400 PM. LAL.................NO TSTMS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............34 59 70 77 85 83 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................57 53 61 68 72 72 RH..................62 74 52 40 38 39 20 FT WIND..........NW 2 NW 1 NW 2 NW 3 NW 3 SW 5 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 TRANSPORT WIND......NW 3 NW 5 NW 9 NW 8 W 3 W 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 0 0 30 30 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56. MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 0200...THEN 9-15 STRIKES. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 3 TO 7 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............80 78 87 90 88 88 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................70 66 60 57 56 56 RH..................46 60 76 86 87 89 20 FT WIND..........S 5 SE 2 S 1 S 1 NW 1 N 1 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 5 5 TRANSPORT WIND......W 5 S 6 S 5 S 3 SE 3 S 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).....40 40 40 40 30 30 LAL.................1 1 1 1 3 3 HAINES INDEX........5 4 4 3 3 3 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 0800...THEN NO TSTMS UNTIL 1400...THEN 9-15 STRIKES. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO 17 TO 18 MPH LATE. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............87 86 69 59 47 44 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................56 59 67 74 78 79 RH..................92 87 70 56 49 46 20 FT WIND..........N 1 NW 1 W 2 W 5 NW 5 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 15 TRANSPORT WIND......SW 7 NW 8 NW 8 NW 10 NW 14 NW 17 CHC OF PCPN (%).....30 10 10 10 20 20 LAL.................3 1 1 1 3 3 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...WFO CTP/DEVOIR REQUESTED BY...JIM STAUFENBERG TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110604.DCNRT.01/CTP