FNUS72 KMHX 041914 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAIN BAY...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 314 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1455 EDT ON JUNE 04. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE FIRE AREA THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH THE EVENING...THOUGH AS THE HIGH MOVES OFF...RETURN FLOW WILL BRING A SLIGHT INCREASE IN WIND SPEED OUT OF THE SOUTH BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. AN INCREASE IN HIGH AND MID CLOUDS CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT AND TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON...WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING BY AROUND NOON. UP TO A QUARTER INCH OF RAIN MAY FALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN HEAVIER STORMS. SOME SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...WITH THE MAIN THREAT GUSTY...DAMAGING WINDS. THE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH BY EVENING... WITH CLEARING SKIES. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............19 25 25 21 7 11 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................79 75 73 71 71 69 RH..................42 52 57 63 66 70 20 FT WIND (MPH)....E 5 SE 5 S 4 S 4 S 4 SW 4 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 5 LVORI...............2 2 2 3 3 3 HAINES INDEX........5 4 4 4 5 4 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84. MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH...DECREASING TO 2 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE. LVORI...............3. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............15 24 77 78 79 81 WEATHER COV......... SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................69 77 84 85 86 86 RH..................73 62 57 61 61 61 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 4 SW 5 S 6 S 6 SE 6 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 10 10 LVORI...............3 3 3 3 2 2 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 3 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...LONKA REQUESTED BY...LLOYD BROWN TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110604.PAINB.02/MHX