FNUS75 KPUB 041748 CCA
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SALT FIRE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1148 AM MDT SAT JUN 4 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT...

EASTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW WILL DEVELOP LATER THIS MORNING. THIS FLOW
WILL BRING A MARGINAL INCREASE IN HUMIDITY TO THE FIRE AREA...AND
MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES SHOULD DROP DOWN TO 15 TO 20% BY LATE
AFTERNOON. WE SHOULD SEE SOME SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
WHICH WILL MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST. LATEST HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS
PREDICT THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE IN THE VICINITY OF THE FIRE AREA AROUND
4 TO 6 PM...AND STRONG ERRATIC GUSTY WINDS OVER 60 MPH COULD OCCUR
WITH ANY OF THESE STORMS. THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD END BY
THE MID EVENING HOURS. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FROM THUNDERSTORMS MAY
KEEP SOME BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE EVENING
BEFORE WINDS DIE DOWN BY LATE EVENING.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER ON SUNDAY WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. THESE TOO WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE LOWER
ON SUNDAY AS WELL...THOUGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LESS THAN 25
MPH.

LONGER RANGE PLANNING INFORMATION...

RED FLAG CONDITIONS FOR DRY LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY.
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(37 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400 UNTIL 1600...THEN
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-94F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTH WINDS 10-15 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    BECOMING EAST AROUND 11 MPH BY 1500.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL UNTIL 1400...THEN 13000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    VERY GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2 UNTIL 1600...THEN 4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(47 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100...THEN ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65F.
MAX HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH UNTIL 0200...THEN SOUTHEAST 3-6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 14 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN SOUTH
                    AROUND 30 MPH UNTIL 0200...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN FAIR UNTIL
                    2200...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2100...THEN 2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(41 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....94-99F.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1300...THEN
                    SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL UNTIL 1100. 14000 FT AGL AFTER
                    1300.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTH
                    AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN VERY GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 2.

$$
FORECASTER...TORGERSON
REQUESTED BY...AARON EVEATT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110604.SALTF.02/PUB