FNUS75 KPUB 041938 FWSPUB SPOT FORECAST FOR SALT FIRE...LA JUNTA FD NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 138 PM MDT SAT JUN 4 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... .DISCUSSION... THUNDERSTORMS ARE STARTING TO DEVELOP IN THE TRINIDAD AREA AS OF 1 PM...AND THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOVING AND SPREADING TO THE NORTHEAST TOWARDS THE FIRE AREA BY LATE AFTERNOON. THE MOST LIKELY TIME PERIOD FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT THE BURN AREA WILL BE BETWEEN 4 AND 7 PM...WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH NEAR THE STRONGER STORMS. THERE COULD BE SOME BRIEF HAIL WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS AS WELL...THOUGH GREATEST RISK FOR LARGE HAIL APPEARS TO BE NORTH OF HIGHWAY 50. WINDS HAVE BECOME LIGHT IN THE LA JUNTA AREA...BUT ARE STILL EXPECTED TO INCREASE FROM THE SOUTHEAST AT 10-15 MPH LATER THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE BEHIND THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING BEFORE DECREASING BY LATE EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER ON SUNDAY WITH ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. THESE WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH BUT LITTLE RAINFALL. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE LOWER ON SUNDAY AS WELL...THOUGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LESS THAN 25 MPH. LONGER RANGE PLANNING INFORMATION... RED FLAG CONDITIONS FOR DRY LIGHTNING WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(49 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400 UNTIL 1600...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92F. MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WIND........EAST WINDS 5-10 MPH UNTIL 1300...THEN SOUTHEAST AROUND 10-15 MPH. ERRATIC LOCALIZED WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1600. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(59 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(48 PERCENT). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100...THEN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65F. MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 14-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(41 PERCENT). ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500. MAX TEMPERATURE.....95-100F. MIN HUMIDITY........7-12 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST 4-6 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH. ERRATIC WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. $$ FORECASTER...TORGERSON REQUESTED BY...AARON EVEATT TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110604.SALTF.03/PUB