FNUS74 KLCH 060133
FWSLCH

SPOT FORECAST FOR OLIVE FIRE...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
833 PM CDT SUN JUN 5 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND STORMS TO THE NORTH THIS EVENING ARE NOT EXPECTED TO LAST
PAST MIDNIGHT.

SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN NORTH
OF THE REGION TOMORROW AS A WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA...THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A FEW MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...
ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

HIGH FIRE DANGER IS LIKELY FOR MONDAY AS VERY HOT TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE TO DRY OUT GROUND FUELS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL
RANGE FROM 34 TO 40 PERCENT TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY WILL BE ISOLATED AND NOT PROVIDE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL...BUT
MAY INSTEAD PRODUCE GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS WITH STRAY LIGHTNING
STRIKES.

ANY QUESTIONS PLEASE CALL 337-477-3422  EXT...265

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-2600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 9 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 3 TO
                    7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM
SKY (%).........54  54  53  53  54  55  56  53  51
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............93  88  83  80  79  78  77  76  75
RH..............36  43  50  57  60  65  67  69  72
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE
20 FT WIND SPD..4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...7.8 4.7 3.7 3.1 2.9 2.5 2.6 0.8 0.7
MIX HGT (KM)....2.4 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12  9   7   5   3   3   3   5   5
TRANS SPD (M/S).5   4   3   2   1   1   1   2   2
HAINES INDEX....2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 98.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7400-8100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 6
                    TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

$$
FORECASTER...KUYPER
REQUESTED BY...KENNETH MYROW
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110605.OLIVE.01/LCH