FNUS75 KABQ 061543
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR CERRO PELON...N4S
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
943 AM MDT MON JUN 6 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

DISCUSSION...
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THIS MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO PARTLY CLOUDY
CONDITIONS AS MID LEVEL CUMULUS CLOUDS DEVELOP BY MID DAY. ENOUGH
MOISTURE TO SUPPORT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT BUT NOT ENOUGH MOISTURE
IN PLACE FOR MUCH WETTING RAIN. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOSTLY DRY AND
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG AND VARIABLE WINDS AT THE SURFACE.
OTHERWISE..WINDS TODAY WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AND ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.  DRIER AIR TO MOVE INTO THE
AREA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT SUCH THAT RH RECOVERIES WILL BE POOR AND
RH WILL BE BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS ON TUESDAY. SOUTHWEST WINDS TO
INCREASE ON TUESDAY AS WELL...SO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED AT THE BURN SITE ON TUESDAY.

OBSERVED WET BULB/DEW POINT TEMPERATURE SEEMS TO BE A LITTLE HIGH AS
COMPARED TO NEARBY SITES.

FOR TODAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY SUNNY THIS MORNING WITH A FEW MID AND
                       HIGH CLOUDS AND BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY THIS
                       AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF MOSTLY DRY
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......30 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 80-84.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 15-20 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 12
                       TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 25
                       MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                       THUNDERSTORMS OR VIRGA IN THE AFTERNOON.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......17300 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 22 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/380600 KNOT-FT.
   VENTILATION TREND...EXCELLENT/179304 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       EXCELLENT/256000 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                       AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CLOUDS
                       DECREASING AFTER MIDNIGHT.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49-53.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 27-32 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                       25 MPH AND GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                       NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SHIFTING
                       TO THE WEST 7 TO 13 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

FOR TUESDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY SUNNY.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 80-84.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 9-14 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO
                       18 TO 28 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO
                       35 MPH.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......12300 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 29 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/356700 KNOT-FT.
   VENTILATION TREND...EXCELLENT/227210 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING EXCELLENT/341395 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...05

$$

REQUESTED BY...CHELSEA SCHROEDER
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110606.CERRO.01/ABQ