FNUS75 KMSO 061724
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR COW CREEK 02
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1124 AM MDT MON JUN 6 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON JUNE 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THIS REMAINDER OF THIS MORNING AND THE VERY EARLY
AFTERNOON WILL BE THE BEST WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY AS THE DAY
PROGRESSES AS FAR AS BURNING IS CONCERNED. WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
BE A PERSISTENT FEATURE THROUGHOUT THE DAY...HOWEVER THE THREAT
FOR AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE WITH EACH HOUR. THE
ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME QUITE UNSTABLE...WITH NORTH WINDS INCREASING
AT THE SITE DURING THIS AFTERNOON. DEPENDING ON THUNDERSTORM
COVERAGE...LOCALLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN
AREAS BEING IMPACTED BY THE THUNDERSTORMS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE BURN SITE SHOULD BE AFTER 1500...AND
CONTINUING INTO THE LATE EVENING. PERSISTENT RAIN CAN THEN BE
EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH
                    POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 10-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING VARIABLE 2-5 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 10-12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEGRETTO
REQUESTED BY...JAMEY GRAHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110606.COWCR.01/MSO