FNAK79 PAFG 081456
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 247 MCCORD CREEK...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
656 AM AKDT WED JUN 8 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2023 AKDT ON JUNE 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A THERMAL LOW PRESSURE TROUGH FROM EAGLE TO A 1009 MB LOW NEAR
LIVENGOOD TO NOATAK WILL PERSIST IN PLACE THROUGH 4AM THU THEN
DRIFT SOUTH OF THE FIRE THURSDAY AND REMAIN QUASI STATIONARY INTO FRI.
THERE WILL BE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF THE FIRE THIS AFTERNOON.

INCREASED MOISTURE OVER THE INTERIOR WILL CAUSE ISOLATED SHOWERS
OVER MUCH OF THE INTERIOR TODAY THAT BECOME SCATTERED TONIGHT AND THU.
THIS SHOULD CAUSE A WETTING RAIN OF OVER .10 INCH AT SOME TIME
BETWEEN TODAY AND FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS.
                    ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 3-5 MPH. GUSTS 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE. SCATTERED SHOWERS.
                    ISOLATED EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 3-5 MPH BECOMING NORTH 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 7 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH.
CWR.................35 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.


$$
FORECASTER...BRADER
REQUESTED BY...BRANDON POE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110607.247MC.01/AFG