FNUS73 KAPX 071921 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR HOWES LAKE...STATE OF MICHIGAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 321 PM EDT TUE JUN 7 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1502 EDT ON JUNE 07. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...NEAR RECORD WARM TEMPERATURES TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS ACROSS THE BURN SITE. SLOW MOISTURE ADVECTION SHOULD ALLOW A SLIGHT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RECOVERY THROUGH EARLY EVENING. MUCH QUICKER MOISTURE RECOVERY EXPECTED DURING THE MID AND LATE EVENING HOURS AS TEMPERATURES COOL BACK INTO THE 70S. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING...SLOWLY VEERING MORE SOUTHWEST. VERY WARM CONDITIONS RETURN WEDNESDAY...ALONG WITH A LITTLE BETTER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. RAIN THREAT INCREASES LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........93 AT REQUEST...MAX 93. RH..................32 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 31 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 10 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE 6800 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT REQUEST...MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (900) AT REQUEST. MAX...EXCELLENT (1000). MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE 6800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EDT) 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........26 26 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............93 91 RH..............32 36 20 FT WIND DIR..S S 20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 HAINES INDEX....4 4 SMOKE DISP......900 1000 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 69. RH..................MAX 81 PERCENT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 21 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-400 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........MIN 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0). WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-400 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 21 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........26 26 21 21 21 18 18 18 22 22 22 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............89 87 86 82 78 75 74 73 73 72 71 70 RH..............38 42 45 51 60 66 69 73 73 76 79 81 20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..10 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 15 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....4 5 4 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......1100900 800 400 200 0 0 0 0 0 0 100 $$ FORECASTER...MIKE BOGUTH REQUESTED BY...JOHN BORIS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110607.HOWES.02/APX