FNUS75 KBOU 061613 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEEP CREEK 2...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1013 AM MDT MON JUN 6 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...MODERATE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. AND A SERIES OF UPPER TROUGHS MOVE OUT OF THE GREAT BASIN AND INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. THE AIRMASS WILL BE WARM AND DRY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. UPPER MOISTURE FROM A PASSING UPPER TROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT MAY PRODUCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY EVENING AND EARLY THURSDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...SOME DRY AFTER 1400. MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-76. MIN HUMIDITY........10-16%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 26 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL UNTIL 1100. 13400-14400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1100. EXCELLENT AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45. MAX HUMIDITY........64-70%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 26 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-70. MIN HUMIDITY........18-24%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. WEST WINDS 22-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 32-48 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN 5800-6800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 0900. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1800...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1800... THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SHEEP CREEK 2. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/06-10 7 0 0 63 25 S12 20 5 1 SW15 5758 SW14 84756 G 06/06-11 7 0 0 66 19 S15 24 4 1 SW21 9324 SW16 149933 V 06/06-12 65 29 8 69 16 S17 28 4 4 SW24 12890 SW20 215110 E 06/06-13 65 29 8 70 14 S17 28 4 4 SW25 13561 SW20 237266 E 06/06-14 65 27 7 71 14 SW16 26 4 4 SW25 14231 SW21 259422 E 06/06-15 69 27 7 72 14 SW15 24 4 4 SW25 14902 SW22 281578 E 06/06-16 69 27 7 72 17 S15 23 4 4 SW22 13951 SW22 269868 E 06/06-17 69 27 7 71 21 S15 23 4 4 SW20 12999 SW23 258158 E 06/06-18 56 20 4 70 25 S14 22 4 3 SW21 12048 SW23 246449 E 06/06-19 56 20 4 67 27 S12 18 4 3 SW30 8150 S20 165502 E 06/06-20 56 20 4 62 30 S 9 15 3 3 SW43 4252 S16 84555 G 06/06-21 56 20 4 58 33 S 8 13 3 3 SW52 355 S12 3608 P 06/06-22 56 20 4 55 35 S 8 13 3 3 SW52 303 S13 3306 P 06/06-23 56 20 4 52 38 S 9 15 3 3 SW48 251 SW14 3004 P 06/07-00 15 0 0 50 42 SW12 18 3 1 SW44 199 SW16 2702 P 06/07-01 15 0 0 48 46 SW14 23 3 1 SW44 300 SW20 5943 P 06/07-02 15 0 0 47 51 SW17 28 4 1 S45 402 SW24 9183 P 06/07-03 15 0 0 45 56 SW20 31 4 1 S46 504 W29 12423 P 06/07-04 15 0 0 44 60 SW20 31 4 1 SW46 559 W30 14535 P 06/07-05 15 0 0 44 63 W20 31 5 1 SW47 615 SW31 16647 P 06/07-06 6 0 0 43 68 W20 31 5 1 SW48 671 SW32 18760 P 06/07-07 6 0 0 44 63 W22 35 5 1 SW49 1716 SW38 65282 G 06/07-08 6 0 0 48 54 W24 39 5 1 SW52 2762 SW43 111804 V 06/07-09 6 0 0 52 45 W28 44 5 1 SW53 3808 SW48 158326 E 06/07-10 6 0 0 54 38 W29 45 4 1 W59 4390 W47 176745 E 06/07-11 6 0 0 57 33 W29 45 4 1 W62 4944 W45 191563 E 06/07-12 3 0 0 59 30 W28 44 4 1 W66 5497 W44 206381 E 06/07-13 3 0 0 62 27 W28 44 4 1 W66 5976 W43 220403 E 06/07-14 3 0 0 64 24 W26 43 5 1 W63 6455 W41 234426 E 06/07-15 3 0 0 65 23 W25 40 5 1 W61 6934 W41 248448 E 06/07-16 3 0 0 65 22 W24 39 5 1 W60 6836 W40 239389 E 06/07-17 3 0 0 65 22 W23 37 5 1 W58 6738 W39 230330 E 06/07-18 3 0 0 64 23 W22 35 5 1 W55 6640 W38 221271 E 06/07-19 3 0 0 61 26 W20 31 5 1 SW51 5477 W37 177260 E 06/07-20 3 0 0 57 30 W17 28 4 1 SW46 4315 W35 133249 V 06/07-21 3 0 0 53 35 W15 24 4 1 SW43 3153 W32 89239 G 06/07-22 3 0 0 50 39 W14 22 4 1 SW41 2226 W28 61362 G 06/07-23 3 0 0 47 43 W14 21 4 1 SW43 1300 W22 33485 P 06/08-00 5 0 0 46 47 W13 21 4 1 SW44 374 W17 5608 P 06/08-01 5 0 0 44 51 W12 18 4 1 SW44 324 W15 4426 P 06/08-02 5 0 0 43 54 SW10 16 3 1 SW45 274 W13 3245 P 06/08-03 5 0 0 42 56 SW 9 15 3 1 SW45 225 SW10 2064 P 06/08-04 5 0 0 41 59 SW 8 13 3 1 SW46 226 SW 9 1897 P 06/08-05 5 0 0 41 59 SW 7 7 3 1 SW47 227 SW 9 1730 P 06/08-06 25 0 0 43 56 SW 7 7 3 1 SW48 227 SW 8 1562 P 06/08-07 25 0 0 48 47 SW 7 7 3 1 SW48 3295 SW14 66383 G 06/08-08 25 0 0 55 38 S 7 7 3 1 SW47 6363 SW18 131203 V 06/08-09 25 0 0 61 32 S 7 7 3 1 SW46 9431 SW24 196024 E 06/08-10 25 0 0 64 28 S 8 13 3 1 SW43 10593 SW24 224760 E 06/08-11 25 0 0 66 26 S 9 15 3 1 SW39 11755 SW24 253495 E 06/08-12 51 7 1 67 25 S10 16 3 1 SW36 12917 SW25 282231 E 06/08-13 51 7 1 67 25 S10 17 3 1 SW35 13190 SW24 280467 E 06/08-14 51 7 1 67 24 S10 17 4 1 SW35 13464 SW24 278703 E 06/08-15 51 7 1 66 24 S10 16 4 1 SW33 13738 SW23 276939 E 06/08-16 51 7 1 65 25 S 9 15 4 1 SW30 11670 SW21 216451 E 06/08-17 51 7 1 63 26 S 7 7 4 1 SW28 9602 SW17 155963 E 06/08-18 48 10 2 61 27 S 6 6 4 2 SW26 7534 SW15 95475 G 06/08-19 48 10 2 59 28 S 5 5 4 2 SW28 5729 S13 68604 G 06/08-20 48 10 2 57 30 S 5 5 4 2 SW30 3924 S10 41732 F 06/08-21 48 10 2 55 31 SE 5 5 4 2 SW33 2119 S 8 14861 P 06/08-22 48 10 2 52 35 SE 6 6 4 2 SW37 1667 S 9 12587 P 06/08-23 48 10 2 49 39 SE 7 7 4 2 SW40 1216 SE10 10312 P 06/09-00 40 8 2 46 43 SE 8 13 4 1 SW43 764 SE13 8038 P 06/09-01 40 8 2 45 46 SE10 17 4 1 SW45 872 SE15 11771 P 06/09-02 40 8 2 44 48 SE13 21 4 1 SW47 980 SE17 15503 P 06/09-03 40 8 2 43 50 SE15 24 4 1 SW47 1088 SE21 19236 P 06/09-04 40 8 2 42 55 SE16 25 4 1 SW45 1019 SE21 18123 P 06/09-05 40 8 2 41 59 SE16 25 3 1 SW43 950 SE21 17011 P 06/09-06 22 0 0 40 61 SE15 24 3 1 SW39 881 SE21 15898 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ DANKERS...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...MATT CHAMPA REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110607.SHEEP.01/BOU