FNUS75 KBOU 071156 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEEP CREEK 2...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 555 AM MDT TUE JUN 7 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THERE WILL BE A DRIER AND MORE SUBSIDENT AIRMASS OVER THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT WITH NO THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED. THERE WILL ALSO BE SOME GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS ESPECIALLY THIS MORNING...THEN DECREASING THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT COOLER ALONG WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....69. MIN HUMIDITY........20%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 8-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH MPH...MAINLY BEFORE 1400. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 36-48 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-6000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 0800...THEN GOOD. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....40. MAX HUMIDITY........50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-28 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-6200 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2400. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....65. MIN HUMIDITY........28%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 6600-7600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0600. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SHEEP CREEK 2. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/07-05 14 0 0 47 34 W21 33 4 1 SW53 1423 W44 54639 F 06/07-06 5 0 0 47 32 W22 35 4 1 SW58 1490 W46 60093 G 06/07-07 5 0 0 49 29 W23 37 4 1 SW59 2007 W47 84102 G 06/07-08 5 0 0 51 26 W24 39 5 1 SW58 2524 W48 108111 V 06/07-09 5 0 0 55 23 W25 40 5 1 SW55 3040 W49 132119 V 06/07-10 5 0 0 58 21 W25 40 5 1 SW53 3552 W49 150045 E 06/07-11 5 0 0 61 19 W24 39 5 1 SW49 4063 W48 167972 E 06/07-12 3 0 0 62 19 W23 37 5 1 SW47 4575 W47 185898 E 06/07-13 3 0 0 63 19 W21 33 5 1 SW46 5033 W44 188611 E 06/07-14 3 0 0 64 19 W18 29 4 1 SW45 5490 W40 191323 E 06/07-15 3 0 0 65 19 W16 25 4 1 SW45 5948 W38 194036 E 06/07-16 3 0 0 65 19 W15 24 4 1 SW45 6096 W37 191796 E 06/07-17 3 0 0 64 20 W15 23 3 1 SW46 6243 W35 189556 E 06/07-18 3 0 0 63 21 W14 22 3 1 SW47 6391 W33 187315 E 06/07-19 3 0 0 61 23 W13 20 3 1 SW48 5708 W31 156521 E 06/07-20 3 0 0 58 26 W10 17 2 1 SW48 5025 W28 125727 V 06/07-21 3 0 0 55 30 W 9 15 2 1 SW48 4342 W25 94933 G 06/07-22 3 0 0 53 34 W 8 13 2 1 SW48 3076 W21 65197 G 06/07-23 3 0 0 51 37 W 7 7 3 1 SW48 1811 W16 35461 P 06/08-00 4 0 0 50 41 W 7 7 3 1 SW48 545 W12 5725 P 06/08-01 4 0 0 48 43 W 7 7 3 1 SW48 458 W10 4322 P 06/08-02 4 0 0 47 45 W 6 6 2 1 SW48 372 W 8 2919 P 06/08-03 4 0 0 46 47 W 6 6 2 1 SW48 285 W 6 1516 P 06/08-04 4 0 0 45 49 W 6 6 2 1 SW49 260 W 7 1441 P 06/08-05 4 0 0 45 50 SW 6 6 2 1 SW51 236 SW 7 1365 P 06/08-06 30 0 0 45 50 SW 6 6 2 1 SW51 211 SW 7 1290 P 06/08-07 30 0 0 48 46 SW 6 6 2 1 SW49 970 SW10 11980 P 06/08-08 30 0 0 50 42 S 7 7 3 1 SW47 1729 S13 22671 P 06/08-09 30 0 0 54 37 S 8 13 3 1 SW45 2488 S15 33361 P 06/08-10 30 0 0 57 33 S 9 15 3 1 SW43 4057 S17 64396 G 06/08-11 30 0 0 60 31 S10 16 3 1 SW39 5626 SW18 95430 G 06/08-12 73 30 9 61 29 S10 16 3 4 SW37 7195 SW21 126465 V 06/08-13 73 30 9 62 28 S10 16 3 4 SW35 7431 SW20 124404 V 06/08-14 73 30 9 63 28 S 9 15 3 4 SW33 7666 SW18 122344 V 06/08-15 73 30 9 63 28 S 9 15 3 4 SW32 7902 SW17 120283 V 06/08-16 73 30 9 63 29 S 9 15 3 4 SW31 6994 SW16 98275 G 06/08-17 73 30 9 62 30 S10 16 3 4 SW29 6085 SW14 76268 G 06/08-18 55 42 19 61 32 S10 16 3 4 SW28 5177 S12 54260 F 06/08-19 55 42 19 59 35 S10 16 3 4 SW28 3730 S12 38750 P 06/08-20 55 42 19 56 41 S 9 15 3 4 SW28 2283 S12 23240 P 06/08-21 55 42 19 53 47 S 9 15 3 4 SW29 836 SE10 7729 P 06/08-22 55 42 19 51 53 S 9 15 3 4 SW33 990 SE13 11329 P 06/08-23 55 42 19 49 59 S10 16 3 4 SW39 1145 S15 14929 P 06/09-00 55 10 2 47 64 S10 16 3 2 SW44 1300 S16 18529 P 06/09-01 55 10 2 45 66 S10 17 3 2 SW47 1107 S17 16081 P 06/09-02 55 10 2 44 67 S10 17 3 2 SW49 915 S17 13633 P 06/09-03 55 10 2 43 66 S10 16 3 2 SW49 723 S17 11185 P 06/09-04 55 10 2 43 64 S10 16 3 2 SW49 626 S16 9041 P 06/09-05 55 10 2 42 62 S 9 15 3 2 SW48 528 S15 6897 P 06/09-06 44 0 0 42 59 S 9 15 3 1 SW46 431 S13 4752 P 06/09-07 44 0 0 44 52 S 9 14 3 1 SW46 1846 S14 26416 P 06/09-08 44 0 0 47 45 S 8 13 2 1 W46 3261 SW16 48080 F 06/09-09 44 0 0 51 39 S 8 13 2 1 W45 4676 W17 69744 G 06/09-10 44 0 0 54 35 S 8 14 2 1 W44 6448 W21 126359 V 06/09-11 44 0 0 56 32 SW 9 15 2 1 W44 8219 W24 182973 E 06/09-12 71 27 7 58 30 SW10 16 2 4 W44 9990 W28 239588 E 06/09-13 71 27 7 59 29 SW12 17 2 4 W45 9753 W29 238849 E 06/09-14 71 27 7 59 29 SW12 18 2 4 W47 9516 W29 238111 E 06/09-15 71 27 7 59 29 SW13 21 2 4 W49 9278 W30 237373 E 06/09-16 71 27 7 59 30 SW14 23 2 4 W49 8964 W30 230907 E 06/09-17 71 27 7 58 31 SW16 25 2 4 W49 8649 W30 224441 E 06/09-18 64 30 9 57 33 W16 25 2 4 W49 8335 W30 217975 E 06/09-19 64 30 9 55 37 W15 23 2 4 W52 6479 W26 160550 E 06/09-20 64 30 9 53 42 W13 20 2 4 W54 4623 W23 103125 V 06/09-21 64 30 9 50 47 W10 16 2 4 W56 2767 W20 45701 F 06/09-22 64 30 9 48 53 W 9 15 2 4 W58 2277 W17 36097 P 06/09-23 64 30 9 47 60 W 9 15 2 4 SW58 1787 W16 26494 P 06/10-00 34 8 2 45 65 W 9 15 2 1 SW58 1298 W15 16890 P 06/10-01 35 8 2 44 67 W 9 15 2 1 W61 1392 W17 20579 P 06/10-02 37 8 2 43 67 W 9 15 2 1 W63 1486 W18 24269 P 06/10-03 38 8 2 42 66 W10 16 2 1 W66 1581 W21 27958 P 06/10-04 39 8 2 42 64 W10 17 2 1 W66 1770 W22 34504 P 06/10-05 41 8 2 41 62 W12 18 2 1 W64 1959 W24 41049 F 06/10-06 42 10 2 41 60 W12 18 2 2 W62 2149 W25 47595 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...JAMES WHITE REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110607.SHEEP.02/BOU