FNUS75 KBOU 072355 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEEP CREEK 2...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 554 PM MDT TUE JUN 7 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...MODERATE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY WITH INCREASING MOISTURE ALOFT. DURING THE AFTERNOON A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OVER NORTHEAST COLORADO WITH UPSLOPE FLOW CONTINUING AT LOWER LEVELS INTO THE EVENING. AFTERNOON HEATING WILL COMBINE WITH THE INCREASING MOISTURE AND UPSLOPE WINDS TO PRODUCE A ROUND OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FOOTHILLS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND SEASONAL NORMALS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....44. MAX HUMIDITY........47%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN 5-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21-32 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-6400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2400. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY UNTIL 0900...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400. MAX TEMPERATURE.....67. MIN HUMIDITY........22%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6-7 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHEAST 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN 2400-3400 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 6000-7000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 10000-11000 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 8400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1700...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....41. MAX HUMIDITY........67%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 11-17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-7000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 0100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2200. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....59. MIN HUMIDITY........30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5-13 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN WEST 13-19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8-16 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 8800-9200 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SHEEP CREEK 2. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 06/07-17 3 0 0 64 20 W16 23 3 1 SW46 6110 W37 194668 E 06/07-18 3 0 0 63 21 W15 23 3 1 W48 6426 W35 194359 E 06/07-19 3 0 0 61 23 W14 21 3 1 W49 5154 W31 148077 V 06/07-20 3 0 0 58 27 W12 18 3 1 W49 3881 W28 101796 V 06/07-21 3 0 0 53 33 W10 16 3 1 W49 2609 W24 55515 F 06/07-22 3 0 0 51 37 W 9 9 3 1 W49 1857 W20 38135 P 06/07-23 3 0 0 49 41 W 8 8 3 1 W49 1105 W15 20755 P 06/08-00 4 0 0 48 43 W 7 7 3 1 SW48 353 W12 3375 P 06/08-01 4 0 0 47 45 W 7 7 3 1 SW48 336 W 9 2793 P 06/08-02 4 0 0 46 47 W 6 6 3 1 SW49 319 W 8 2211 P 06/08-03 4 0 0 46 46 W 6 6 3 1 SW49 302 W 6 1629 P 06/08-04 4 0 0 45 45 W 5 5 3 1 SW49 276 W 6 1377 P 06/08-05 4 0 0 44 43 SW 3 3 3 1 SW51 250 SW 5 1125 P 06/08-06 4 0 0 45 40 SW 3 3 3 1 SW51 224 SW 5 873 P 06/08-07 4 0 0 52 33 SW 5 5 3 1 SW51 1919 SW 9 28647 P 06/08-08 4 0 0 54 32 S 7 7 4 1 SW48 3613 SW14 56422 F 06/08-09 4 0 0 59 30 SE 9 14 4 1 SW47 5308 SW18 84197 G 06/08-10 66 0 0 62 27 SE10 15 4 1 SW45 7302 SW21 139776 V 06/08-11 66 0 0 65 24 SE12 16 3 1 SW44 9295 SW23 195356 E 06/08-12 66 0 0 67 22 SE12 17 3 1 SW41 11289 SW25 250935 E 06/08-13 66 0 0 67 22 SE13 18 3 1 SW39 11215 SW24 235514 E 06/08-14 85 42 19 65 24 SE13 18 3 4 SW37 11141 SW23 220093 E 06/08-15 85 42 19 66 23 SE13 20 3 4 SW35 11068 SW21 204672 E 06/08-16 85 42 19 66 25 SE12 18 3 4 SW33 9733 SW20 168740 E 06/08-17 85 42 19 65 26 SE12 16 3 4 SW32 8398 S17 132809 V 06/08-18 86 50 26 64 29 SE10 16 3 4 SW33 7064 S16 96878 G 06/08-19 86 50 26 61 32 SE10 16 3 4 SW33 5737 S16 80285 G 06/08-20 86 50 26 58 38 SE12 17 3 4 SW33 4411 S17 63693 G 06/08-21 86 50 26 54 46 SE13 20 3 4 SW35 3085 S17 47100 F 06/08-22 86 50 26 51 52 SE13 21 3 4 SW38 2377 S17 36486 P 06/08-23 86 50 26 49 58 SE13 20 3 4 SW43 1669 S18 25871 P 06/09-00 48 0 0 47 63 SE13 21 3 1 SW46 961 S18 15256 P 06/09-01 48 0 0 46 65 SE14 23 3 1 SW47 872 S21 15049 P 06/09-02 48 0 0 44 67 SE16 25 3 1 SW48 783 S22 14841 P 06/09-03 48 0 0 43 66 SE16 25 3 1 SW48 693 SE24 14633 P 06/09-04 48 0 0 42 64 SE15 23 3 1 SW48 684 S21 12260 P 06/09-05 48 0 0 42 61 SE12 18 3 1 SW48 676 S17 9887 P 06/09-06 44 0 0 42 58 S 9 9 3 1 SW46 667 S13 7514 P 06/09-07 44 0 0 44 52 S 7 7 3 1 SW44 931 S12 9109 P 06/09-08 44 0 0 46 47 SW 6 6 3 1 SW40 1195 SW10 10704 P 06/09-09 44 0 0 50 41 SW 6 6 3 1 SW38 1460 W 9 12300 P 06/09-10 44 0 0 53 36 W 7 7 3 1 SW36 3876 W14 60897 G 06/09-11 44 0 0 55 33 W 9 9 2 1 SW36 6292 SW17 109495 V 06/09-12 64 40 18 56 31 W12 18 2 4 SW37 8708 SW21 158093 E 06/09-13 64 40 18 57 30 W13 21 2 4 SW40 8858 SW23 180450 E 06/09-14 64 40 18 58 30 W14 23 2 4 SW45 9008 SW25 202807 E 06/09-15 64 40 18 58 30 W15 24 2 4 SW49 9158 SW29 225164 E 06/09-16 64 40 18 59 30 W16 26 2 4 SW53 9049 SW30 238525 E 06/09-17 64 40 18 58 31 W17 28 2 4 W58 8940 SW32 251887 E 06/09-18 64 40 18 57 33 SW17 28 2 4 W61 8831 SW35 265248 E 06/09-19 64 40 18 56 36 W16 25 2 4 W64 7678 W32 219864 E 06/09-20 64 40 18 53 41 W14 22 2 4 W68 6526 W30 174481 E 06/09-21 64 40 18 50 47 W13 21 2 4 W70 5373 W28 129097 V 06/09-22 64 40 18 49 53 W14 22 2 4 W70 5061 W31 136596 V 06/09-23 64 40 18 47 58 W15 24 2 4 W69 4749 W36 144094 V 06/10-00 23 0 0 46 63 W16 25 2 1 W68 4437 W39 151592 E 06/10-01 23 0 0 45 65 W16 26 2 1 W67 4006 W39 136892 V 06/10-02 23 0 0 44 66 W16 26 3 1 W67 3575 W39 122192 V 06/10-03 23 0 0 43 65 W16 25 3 1 W64 3144 W39 107493 V 06/10-04 23 0 0 42 63 W15 24 3 1 W62 2972 W38 97276 G 06/10-05 23 0 0 42 60 W15 23 3 1 W59 2800 W36 87059 G 06/10-06 23 0 0 42 57 W14 22 3 1 W55 2628 W33 76842 G 06/10-07 23 0 0 44 52 W14 23 3 1 W52 3454 W32 93335 G 06/10-08 23 0 0 46 47 W15 23 2 1 W48 4280 W30 109829 V 06/10-09 23 0 0 49 41 W15 24 2 1 W46 5106 W29 126322 V 06/10-10 23 0 0 52 37 W15 24 2 1 W44 5787 W26 128905 V 06/10-11 23 0 0 54 34 W15 23 2 1 W41 6469 W24 131487 V 06/10-12 55 20 4 56 32 W14 22 2 3 W39 7150 W22 134070 V 06/10-13 55 20 4 56 31 W13 21 2 3 W39 7212 W20 125789 V 06/10-14 55 20 4 57 31 W13 20 2 3 W38 7274 W18 117508 V 06/10-15 55 20 4 57 31 W12 18 2 3 W37 7337 W17 109227 V 06/10-16 55 20 4 57 31 W10 10 2 3 W36 6476 W15 85985 G 06/10-17 55 20 4 57 31 W 9 9 3 3 W33 5616 W13 62744 G 06/10-18 55 20 4 56 33 W 8 8 3 3 W31 4756 SW 9 39502 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...FORT COLLINS DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110607.SHEEP.03/BOU