FNUS72 KMHX 081018 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 618 AM EDT WED JUN 8 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0602 EDT ON JUNE 08. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND OVER THE AREA FROM OFFSHORE THROUGH SATURDAY WITH A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING INLAND. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA SUNDAY AND MOVE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. THE WEATHER FOR NEXT 3 OR 4 DAYS WILL BE HOT AND BREEZY WITH ONLY A VERY SMALL CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE AT 10 TO 20 MPH WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS AT TIMES. LOOKING AHEAD INTO NEXT WEEK THERE SHOULD BE BETTER CHANCES FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND BENEFICIAL RAINS FOR EASTERN NC. THE BETTER RAIN CHANCES WILL BEGIN SUNDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK ACCORDING TO A CONSENSUS OF THE MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. AREAS OF SMOKE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH . HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............25 20 22 24 26 22 WEATHER COV.........AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE TEMP................74 75 82 88 92 90 RH..................82 82 65 54 46 51 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 10 SW 10 SW 10 SW 10 SW 10 S 13 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 17 20 LVORI...............4 3 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 5 5 5 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF SMOKE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............17 13 15 17 19 18 WEATHER COV.........AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE TEMP................87 82 78 75 73 72 RH..................57 70 79 87 93 97 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 9 S 9 SW 8 SW 7 SW 8 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 10 15 10 LVORI...............2 3 4 5 5 6 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 3 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. AREAS OF SMOKE EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 20 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............16 14 15 18 16 22 WEATHER COV.........AREAS WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................71 74 81 88 91 90 RH..................100 90 72 55 50 52 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 7 SW 7 SW 7 SW 8 SW 8 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 15 15 20 LVORI...............7 5 3 2 2 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 4 3 $$ FORECASTER...ELARDO REQUESTED BY...DAVID GREATHOUSE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110608.PAINS.01/MHX