FNUS75 KPUB 081229
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR CALLIE MARIE   BEAR SPRINGS...FORT CARSON FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
629 AM MDT WED JUN 8 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

THERE IS A LINGERING SURFACE COLD FRONT IN THE AREA THIS MORNING
WHICH WILL MAKE THE FORECAST SOMEWHAT DIFFICULT. THE FRONT DROPPED
DOWN THE EASTERN PLAINS EARLY THIS MORNING...BRINGING IN SLIGHTLY
COOLER AIR AND MORE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. HOWEVER...THIS BOUNDARY IS
GOING TO WAVER BACK AND FORTH...AND WEST OF THIS BOUNDARY WILL
EXPERIENCE OCCASIONALLY GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AND VERY DRY
AIR.

SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY SUNNY TODAY...BUT SMOKE DRIFTING
UP ACROSS NEW MEXICO WILL SHIELD PORTIONS OF THE AREA. THERE IS
ALSO THE CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON...AND IF THEY DO...EXPECT GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS FROM
THESE HIGH-BASED STORMS.

THEREFORE...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA TODAY DUE
TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...GUSTY WINDS AND HIGH HAINES INDICES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91F.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-9 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH UNTIL 0900...
                    THEN NORTH-NORTHEAST UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    EAST-SOUTHEAST AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    20-25 MPH BETWEEN 1400 AND 1800.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 16500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 1700...THEN SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 2.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(33 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58F.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 11 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    NORTHWEST.
MIXING HEIGHT.......15000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 13 MPH UNTIL 0500...THEN NORTH
                    AROUND 3 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88F.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-10 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST 2-5 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN SOUTHWEST 9-13
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH AFTER 1100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 13000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 0800...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1500.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...MOORE
REQUESTED BY...PETER WOLF
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110608.CALLI.01/PUB