FNUS75 KPUB 082326
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR SW OTERO COUNTY...OTERO COUNTY SHERIFF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
526 PM MDT WED JUN 8 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
A FRONT WILL STAY JUST SOUTH OF THE FIRE THIS EVENING. BY LATE IN
THE EVENING ANOTHER SURGE OF MORE MOIST AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE
REGION FROM THE NORTH...WITH HUMIDITY RECOVERY TO AT LEAST 60
PERCENT TONIGHT. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE UNTIL
2200...AND ANY STORMS WOULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND LITTLE OR
NO RAINFALL.

ON THURSDAY...THE FRONT WILL START SOUTH OF THE REGION WITH THE
MORE MOIST AIR MASS OVER THE REGION. BY THE AFTERNOON...THE FRONT
WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTH AND STALL NEAR THE FIRE. IF THE FRONT
MOVES NORTH OF THE REGION...THEN HUMIDITIES ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON
MAY REACH THE SINGLE DIGITS WITH GUSTY SOUTH WINDS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(43 PERCENT) UNTIL 0300...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY(64 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200. AREAS OF SMOKE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60F.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN
                    NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 2500 FT AGL AFTER
                    2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 20 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    2100...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(51 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90F.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 11500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 0800...THEN SOUTH
                    AROUND 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...WOLYN
REQUESTED BY...AMANDA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110608.SWOTE.01/PUB