FNUS72 KMHX 091949 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINS BAY...NCDFR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 349 PM EDT THU JUN 9 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1518 EDT ON JUNE 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND OVER THE AREA FROM OFFSHORE THROUGH SATURDAY WITH A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE INLAND. SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO PREVENT ANY WIDESPREAD DENSE SMOKE OCCURRENCES BOTH TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA SUNDAY AND MOVE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF SMOKE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73. MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL EARLY...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH. MAX LVORI...........5 LATE. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............22 25 21 15 25 19 WEATHER COV.........AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE TEMP................87 83 79 77 76 75 RH..................55 67 79 87 90 90 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 11 S 11 SW 10 SW 9 SW 8 SW 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 15 15 15 15 LVORI...............1 3 3 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX........4 4 3 3 3 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF SMOKE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH. MAX LVORI...........6 EARLY. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............19 23 23 24 28 31 WEATHER COV.........AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS AREAS WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE TEMP................73 77 83 87 90 89 RH..................97 85 65 55 50 52 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 8 SW 8 SW 9 SW 10 S 11 S 11 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 20 20 LVORI...............6 4 3 2 1 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF SMOKE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 17 MPH. MAX LVORI...........5 LATE. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............35 42 40 37 31 29 WEATHER COV.........AREAS WEATHER TYPE........SMOKE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................87 80 78 76 74 73 RH..................57 72 76 82 87 90 20 FT WIND (MPH)....S 12 S 14 S 11 SW 10 SW 8 SW 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 20 15 15 10 LVORI...............1 3 3 4 5 5 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF AN AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM JUST NORTH OF AREA. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 3900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 17 MPH. MAX LVORI...........5 EARLY. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............27 25 26 27 28 27 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................74 75 77 80 84 86 RH..................87 82 76 67 59 55 20 FT WIND (MPH)....SW 7 SW 6 SW 8 S 10 S 11 S 12 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 15 20 20 25 LVORI...............5 4 4 3 2 1 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 4 3 $$ FORECASTER...MERRELL REQUESTED BY...GARY CURCIO TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110609.PAINS.02/MHX