FNUS75 KPUB 091335 FWSPUB SPOT FORECAST FOR CALLIE MARIE BEAR SPRINGS...FORT CARSON FIRE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 735 AM MDT THU JUN 9 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... WE ARE CURRENTLY SEEING A REPRIEVE IN THE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE BURN AREA AS A COOL FRONT HAS BROUGHT WEAK UPSLOPE FLOW...LOW CLOUDS...AND MUCH HIGHER HUMIDITY AIR. HOWEVER... IT MAY NOT LAST TOO LONG. MODELS PUSH THE BOUNDARY BACK FROM THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS...SOUTHERN I-25 CORRIDOR AND EVEN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...WHICH MEANS A RETURN OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS TO THE BURN AREA. RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN EXPANDED TO COVER ALL OF LAS ANIMAS COUNTY... FROM NOON UNTIL 9 PM TODAY. IT LOOKS LIKE THE BOUNDARY THAT HAS BROUGHT THE LOW CLOUDS AND HIGHER HUMIDITY AIR TO THE BURN AREA THIS MORNING... WILL SHIFT BACK ACROSS NORTHERN AND EASTERN SECTIONS OF LAS ANIMAS COUNTY DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. THIS WOULD MEAN A WIND SHIFT BACK TO GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLY BREEZES AND A BIG DROP IN HUMIDITIES. SO...EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY HAS BEEN ADDED TO THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR TODAY. GOOD NEWS FOR TONIGHT. LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER ROUND OF MOIST LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW WILL RETURN OVERNIGHT...WITH LOW CLOUDS AND HIGH HUMIDITIES EXPECTED AGAIN INTO FRIDAY MORNING. OUTLOOK FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS... LOOKS LIKE A REPRIEVE IN THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT FOR FRIDAY AND PROBABLY SATURDAY AS WELL...BUT WITH A GOOD POSSIBILITY OF RED FLAG CONDITIONS RETURNING TO MOST AREAS AGAIN SUNDAY...MONDAY...AND PROBABLY TUESDAY AS WELL. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (50 PERCENT) 0900-1100. MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88F. MIN HUMIDITY........MINIMUM VALUES DROPPING TO 3-8 PERCENT 1500-1800. 20 FOOT WIND........EASTERLY 5-10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHERLY 5-15 MPH 0900-1200...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15-25 MPH 1500-1800. MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 11500 FT AGL 0900-1200. TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 11 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...VERY GOOD AFTER 1100. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. LAL.................1. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55F. MAX HUMIDITY........RECOVERING TO 75-80 PERCENT 0300-0600. 20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 14 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. LAL.................1. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 0900...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (50 PERCENT). AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79F. MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WIND........NORTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN NORTHEAST 8 MPH UNTIL 1800...THEN EAST TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. GOOD AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2. $$ FORECASTER...WALROD REQUESTED BY...PETER WOLF TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110609.CALLI.01/PUB